QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $59.875 faces a bearish structure: RSI 45.1 and MACD deterioration point lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-31 02:54 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if QNT reclaims and holds above $60.51, with the bearish moving-average and MACD structure reversing.. Cautious read: a break below $55.36 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the “priced in” story collapses when QNT is still 13.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the “priced in” story collapses when QNT is still 13. Key support to defend sits near $55.36. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly print: QNT is down 7.0% over seven days, sits 12.1% below its SMA200, and the MACD histogram is -0.105 and expanding. But that damage is already visible in the tape, while the Fusion Rollup headline—unifying 74 blockchains for institutions—gives the market a real adoption hook; with price only 8.1% above $55.36 support, the downside may be stale and priced in.
Leo, the “priced in” story collapses when QNT is still 13.4% below the 60-day high of $69.10 and below every major moving-average reference. The expanding -0.105 MACD histogram says sellers are gaining force, while RSI at 45.1 is nowhere near the washout needed to call this damage exhausted.
· support bounce from $55.36
· Fusion Rollup institutional adoption
· crowded long unwind already partly realized
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if QNT reclaims and holds above $60.51, with the bearish moving-average and MACD structure reversing.
Mara, a 7.0% weekly slide beside $55.36 support is exactly where reflexive rebounds start; RSI 45.1 leaves room for recovery rather than proving capitulation.
Leo, support is a level, not a thesis. Price is also 2.6% below SMA50 and 12.1% below SMA200, so your rebound argument is fighting the trend’s entire staircase.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, a 7.0% weekly slide beside $55.36 support is exactly where reflexive rebounds start; RSI 45.1 leaves room for recovery rather than proving capitulation.
Leo, support is a level, not a thesis. Price is also 2.6% below SMA50 and 12.1% below SMA200, so your rebound argument is fighting the trend’s entire staircase.
Leo, the crowd isn’t positioned for a clean squeeze: 54.8% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.21 lean long, while taker buy/sell at 0.95 favors sellers. That is mild long-side vulnerability, not suppressed demand.
The macro tape offers QNT no rescue: the supplied market headlines concern a possible Bitcoin purchase and legacy money-transfer rails, not fresh liquidity for QNT. Until price reclaims $60.51 and proves it can hold, the regime favors the bears.
I rule for the bearish side. The decisive exhibit is the combination of price 12.1% below SMA200 with an expanding -0.105 MACD histogram, reinforced by seven straight shown underweight calls resolving as wins. This ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above the $69.10 60-day high or a clear reversal of the bearish moving-average structure.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI at 45.1, price below SMA20 by 1.5%, SMA50 by 2.6%, and SMA200 by 12.1%; bearish moving-average structure and expanding MACD histogram at -0.105. Conflicts: the $55.36 60-day low is still 8.1% below price, leaving nearby support. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 62, long accounts at 54.8% with an L/S ratio of 1.21, and taker buy/sell at 0.95. Conflicts: StockTwits shows 2 bullish versus 0 bearish messages, though the sample is only 4 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The institutional interoperability headline around Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains is the strongest QNT-specific catalyst in the pack. But the broader headline tape is dominated by Bitcoin purchase speculation and money-transfer history, offering no fresh QNT price impulse.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Fusion Rollup reportedly unifies 74 blockchains for institutions, supporting Quant’s interoperability narrative. The pack provides no valuation, revenue, token-supply, or adoption figures, so fundamentals cannot outweigh the clearly weak price structure.
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