QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT hovers at $59.195, only 1.2% above its 60-day low as bearish structure dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-09 02:06 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if QNT sustains a move above $60.00 with RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $58.43 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that is classic oversold-hopium arithmetic.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that is classic oversold-hopium arithmetic. Key support to defend sits near $58.43. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: QNT is 14.6% below its SMA200 and down 13.0% in 30 days. But RSI at 35.8 and a contracting MACD histogram at -0.01384 say the selling engine is losing torque; with price just 1.2% above $58.43, the damage may already be priced in.
Leo, that is classic oversold-hopium arithmetic. QNT being only 1.2% above $58.43 does not make $59.195 a floor; it makes the floor immediately testable, while the price remains below every major moving average and takers favor sellers at 0.78.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: QNT is down 13.0% in 30 days and still 19.8% below $73.72, so the market may have considerably more downside to price before mean reversion matters. The 0.78 taker buy/sell ratio suggests sellers still control the urgent flow.
The fastest way this call blows up is a bear-trap rebound from the $58.43 low. RSI at 35.8 and a contracting MACD histogram at -0.01384 are the fragile exhibits; a move through $60.00 would expose how quickly oversold conditions can reverse.
I think Leo overreached by treating RSI 35.8 as proof of a floor, while Mara overreaches if she treats the SMA200 gap as a straight-line forecast. The deciding condition is whether QNT reclaims $60.00 or loses $58.43 first, with the settled record favoring the underweight thesis at 4 WIN and 0 LOSS.
· Oversold rebound from $58.43
· Institutional interoperability catalysts
· Short-term MACD stabilization
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned if QNT sustains a move above $60.00 with RSI above 50.
Leo, your contracting MACD is a footnote against a 60-day drawdown from $73.72 to $59.195. What evidence says the next test of $58.43 will hold?
Mara, RSI at 35.8 says the downside is getting crowded, and the histogram is contracting. A failed breakdown near $58.43 could snap price back toward $60 before your moving-average story catches up.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, your contracting MACD is a footnote against a 60-day drawdown from $73.72 to $59.195. What evidence says the next test of $58.43 will hold?
Mara, RSI at 35.8 says the downside is getting crowded, and the histogram is contracting. A failed breakdown near $58.43 could snap price back toward $60 before your moving-average story catches up.
I’ll interrupt: the crowd is not cleanly bearish—52.3% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.10 remain mildly long. With taker buy/sell at 0.78, that imbalance is fragile support at best, not confirmation of a durable rebound.
And I’ll make the macro point: the Bitcoin BIP-110 controversy and Russia’s tightening-rule backdrop do not provide a liquidity tailwind. QNT’s 30-day loss of 13.0% fits a risk regime that can overwhelm an RSI bounce.
I rule for the bears: underweight wins. The decisive exhibit is QNT’s 14.6% discount to SMA200, reinforced by a 0.78 taker buy/sell ratio and a 60-day-low proximity of 1.2%. My ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $60.00 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50; absent that, $58.43 is the immediate failure line.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The tape is decisively weak: QNT sits 3.5% below SMA20, 8.1% below SMA50, and 14.6% below SMA200, with RSI at 35.8. The contracting MACD histogram at -0.01384 offers a stabilization hint, but the SMA50 remains 7.0% below SMA200.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 31, taker buy/sell is 0.78, and QNT is near its 60-day low at $58.43. Long accounts still lead at 52.3% with an L/S ratio of 1.10, a thin bullish lean that looks vulnerable rather than inspiring.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines are constructive around Quant’s institutional interoperability narrative and the reported Fusion Rollup launch across 74 blockchains. Yet the Robinhood-listing headline has not translated into durable price strength: QNT is down 13.0% over 30 days.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The interoperability thesis remains QNT’s strongest fundamental support, with coverage focused on its blockchain operating-system role and institutional connectivity. The data pack provides no fresh token-economics figures, adoption metrics, or valuation data, so fundamentals cannot outweigh the chart evidence.
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