CoinVerdict
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QNT / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-06 02:05 UTC
$59.74
-1.74% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-06 02:05 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-06 — latest verdict → QNT
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

QNT Sits at $59.74, Barely 1.9% Above Its 60-Day Low

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-06 02:05 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
3W–0L–4P · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 43.8–100.0% · n=3 · early sample
2026-08-06 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-13
2026-08-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-12
2026-08-04 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-11
2026-08-02 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-09
2026-08-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-08
2026-07-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-07
2026-07-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-06
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · QNT price $60.825 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · QNT price $60.87 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · QNT price $61.53 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · QNT price $63.795 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · QNT price $63.645 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · QNT price $61.595 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · QNT price $63.75 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · QNT price $60.765 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · QNT price $63.655 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · QNT price $61.01 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · QNT price $63.9 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · QNT price $60.825 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$59.74 -1.7% 24h
60d high73.72 -19.0%
60d low58.57 +1.9%
RSI(14)36.5
vs 200d SMA -14.1%
30d change -9.4%
Funding (net) +0.93 bp/8h
Fear & Greed25 · Extreme Fear
Long accounts47.8% long
StockTwits (self-tagged)1 bull / 0 bear · 2 msgs

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?
Aggressive desk
Conservative desk
Neutral desk

Invalidation: A sustained move above $60.09 with RSI above 50 overturns the bearish ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$58.57
Key resistance$60.09
InvalidationA sustained move above $60.09 with RSI above 50 overturns the bearish ruling.
Main risksoversold relief bounceinstitutional-adoption headlines gaining traction$58.57 support holding
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura. QNT is below SMA20 by 3.7%, SMA50 by 8.2%, and SMA200 by 14.1%, with bearish MA structure and RSI at 36.5. The 60-day low at $58.57 is the immediate fault line, though the contracting MACD histogram (-0.04382) hints that downside momentum is fading.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear & Greed is 25, long accounts are only 47.8% with an L/S ratio of 0.92, while taker buy/sell is 1.08. That’s fearful rather than euphoric crowding, and the lone bullish StockTwits tag is noise from just 2 messages.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh. The Fusion Rollup launch, its claimed unification of 74 blockchains, and the Dentsu Soken partnership provide constructive institutional headlines. But the pack offers no quantified adoption, revenue, or market-impact evidence, while broader crypto headlines are unrelated to QNT.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand. QNT has a credible enterprise narrative through institutional interoperability and tokenised-deposit adoption. The data pack supplies no valuation, supply, revenue, or usage figures, so fundamentals cannot outweigh a price sitting 19.0% below the 60-day high.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
ba6b6e811be247d8b83cd1ca556eb55b717a7a5042648f5025781d9d8ad52c3b
UTC date
2026-08-06

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