QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT sits at $60.825, only 1.2% above its 60-day low as bearish momentum persists
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-29 00:52 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -6.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of SMA20, approximately $64.1 based on the current $60.825 price being 5.1% below it, would invalidate the bearish swing call.. Cautious read: a break below $60.06 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your RSI is a bruise, not a buy signal.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your RSI is a bruise, not a buy signal. Key support to defend sits near $60.06. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: QNT is down 7.3% over 30 days and trades below every major moving average. But RSI at 33.3 says the rubber is stretched, and the price is already pressed to $60.06, just 1.2% beneath us—most of the panic may be stale and priced in. With taker buy/sell at 1.05 and institutional rollup news in the background, a snapback can arrive before the chart looks pretty.
Leo, your RSI is a bruise, not a buy signal. QNT is still 5.1% below SMA20, 8.4% below SMA50, and 13.4% below SMA200, while the MACD histogram is expanding at -0.2627; that directly attacks your oversold-rebound thesis. A coin hovering 1.2% above its 60-day low is not proof of exhaustion—it’s evidence the floor is being tested.
· oversold RSI rebound
· slight taker-buying advantage at 1.05
· unexpected dovish-Fed risk-on move
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of SMA20, approximately $64.1 based on the current $60.825 price being 5.1% below it, would invalidate the bearish swing call.
Mara, the crowd is already fearful at 29, and only 41.3% of accounts are long. You’re treating capitulation fuel as if it were fresh selling pressure.
Leo, the L/S ratio is 0.70 precisely because longs have been washed out; that’s not a bullish reversal without a higher low. The 60-day low at $60.06 is still staring us in the face.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the crowd is already fearful at 29, and only 41.3% of accounts are long. You’re treating capitulation fuel as if it were fresh selling pressure.
Leo, the L/S ratio is 0.70 precisely because longs have been washed out; that’s not a bullish reversal without a higher low. The 60-day low at $60.06 is still staring us in the face.
I’m with Mara on the positioning read: the ratio favors shorts, but the slight 1.05 taker buy/sell edge is the one live bid signal here. It’s a spark, not a fire—and funding is unavailable, so nobody gets to invent leverage confirmation.
Leo, a dovish-Fed hope is a macro postcard, not QNT liquidity. Until broader risk appetite actually turns, the 21.0% distance from the 60-day high says this is a damaged trend, not a discount coupon.
I rule for the bears, with the decisive exhibit being the expanding -0.2627 MACD histogram alongside price 13.4% below SMA200. The $60.06 floor is the immediate fault line; a decisive break below $60.06 keeps the bearish ruling intact, while a sustained reclaim of SMA20 would overturn it.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) at 33.3; price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 5.1%, 8.4%, and 13.4%; expanding negative MACD histogram at -0.2627; 7-day and 30-day declines. Conflicts: RSI is near oversold territory, but no reversal signal is supplied. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 29; only 41.3% of long accounts; L/S ratio at 0.70. Conflicts: taker buy/sell at 1.05 shows slight immediate buying pressure. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh here: the Fusion Rollup launch and reported Robinhood listing are constructive headlines, but the tape has ignored them. The macro backdrop offers a possible dovish-Fed lift for bitcoin, yet the pack provides no QNT-specific catalyst strong enough to erase a 21.0% gap from the 60-day high.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand here: Fusion Rollup reportedly unifies 74 blockchains for institutions, which supports QNT's network-use narrative. But the data pack gives no adoption, revenue, token-demand, or valuation figures, so that fundamental case cannot outweigh the clearly deteriorating market structure.
4855af4edf9bbba79daa98b8060b8df1a0b0914e8fac581f37dc02245c4a4de3e65b9d2c8c3aaa5bbfb44b1c0d548dd39e9b3ad714e19978cc23a37eb1110a92Committed 2026-07-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
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