QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $61.65 sits below its 200-day average by 9.7%, with the chart still tilted lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-30 02:21 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of $69.10 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $55.36 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your “stabilization” is a one-day rounding error against a 7-day drop of 5.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your “stabilization” is a one-day rounding error against a 7-day drop of 5. Key support to defend sits near $55.36. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: QNT is 9.7% under SMA200 and the 50/200 structure is bearish. But that damage is stale and visible; the tape is trying to stabilize, with price 1.4% above SMA20, RSI at 50.3, and MACD still positive at 0.1369. The 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup gives the story a real catalyst, not just another vapor-cloud promise.
Leo, your “stabilization” is a one-day rounding error against a 7-day drop of 5.1% and a 60-day peak still 10.9% overhead. The positive MACD histogram is contracting, while price is flat against SMA50 and remains beneath SMA200; calling that repair is hopium wearing a hard hat.
I think the bearish case still leaves downside underpriced: QNT is only 10.9% below $69.10, yet greed is 69 and long accounts are 53.3%, so a break of $60 could expose the $55.36 low quickly. The recent record supports this pressure thesis: seven shown underweight calls resolved as wins, including -7.3% versus BTC on August 21.
The fastest failure is a squeeze through $69.10. RSI is neutral at 50.3, price is 1.4% above SMA20, and taker buy/sell is 1.16; those exhibits could overpower the bearish moving-average lag, while funding is unavailable to confirm crowding.
I think Leo overreaches on the Fusion Rollup catalyst, because the pack gives no adoption or revenue number; Dmitri overreaches if he treats Fear & Greed 69 as proof of macro liquidation risk. The deciding condition is whether QNT breaks $60 toward $55.36 or instead reclaims $69.10.
· bullish breakout through $69.10
· positive Fusion Rollup adoption
· neutral RSI and positive MACD spark a squeeze
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of $69.10 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day high at $69.10 is a reference point, not a verdict. QNT is also $6.29 above the 60-day low of $55.36, and RSI at 50.3 says sellers haven’t seized control.
Leo, being above $55.36 proves only that the coin bounced. The decisive structure is SMA50 versus SMA200: -9.6%, with the 7-day tape down 5.1%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day high at $69.10 is a reference point, not a verdict. QNT is also $6.29 above the 60-day low of $55.36, and RSI at 50.3 says sellers haven’t seized control.
Leo, being above $55.36 proves only that the coin bounced. The decisive structure is SMA50 versus SMA200: -9.6%, with the 7-day tape down 5.1%.
I’ll interrupt: the crowd isn’t positioned for capitulation. Long accounts are 53.3%, L/S is 1.14, and taker buy/sell is 1.16; that is modest bullish skew, not a washed-out base.
And modest optimism is exactly the problem in a hostile liquidity regime. Fear & Greed at 69 says the macro cushion is thin; there’s no funding-rate data here to prove that enthusiasm is being paid for, but the greed reading is concrete.
I rule for the bear side: QNT’s bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure at -9.6% is the decisive exhibit, reinforced by the 7-day decline of 5.1% and contracting MACD. The ruling flips only if price reclaims and holds the 60-day high at $69.10, or if the bearish moving-average structure materially reverses before then.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I see a short-term bounce trapped inside a damaged structure: RSI is 50.3, price is 1.4% above SMA20 but essentially flat versus SMA50, while SMA50 sits 9.6% below SMA200. MACD histogram is positive at 0.1369 but contracting, so momentum is fading rather than repairing the trend.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I read a mildly crowded optimistic tape: Fear & Greed is 69, long accounts are 53.3%, the L/S ratio is 1.14, and taker buy/sell is 1.16. That enthusiasm conflicts with QNT’s 7-day loss of 5.1% and leaves the bullish crowd exposed if $60 gives way.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I find one constructive QNT headline around Fusion Rollup going live and unifying 74 blockchains, but the pack offers no quantified adoption or revenue impact. The broader headline tape is risk-sensitive after a $1.1 million crypto-card hack crashed a neobank token 49%, which is a poor backdrop for weak crypto charts.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I can credit the institutional interoperability narrative and the 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup claim. But the data pack supplies no fresh valuation, cash-flow, token-demand, or usage figures, so fundamentals cannot override a price sitting 9.7% below SMA200.
812e35fc22d4ff92754bdf8f9a6fbddcc29a9aea6dc29478ca160845ecbc56600071e3de26d06e3c755183e93ee239d43345bcb211c72f3e329230375244b41bCommitted 2026-08-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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