QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $61.275 is trapped below its 200-day average, with bearish structure outweighing a 49.1 RSI
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-29 02:33 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $69.10, especially if RSI rises above 60 with expanding MACD momentum.. Cautious read: a break below $55.36 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s “compression” rests on a price sitting below every meaningful medium-to-long trend anchor.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s “compression” rests on a price sitting below every meaningful medium-to-long trend anchor. Key support to defend sits near $55.36. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: QNT is 10.2% under SMA200 and the 50/200 structure is bearish. But RSI at 49.1 isn’t a washout, MACD remains positive at +0.2269, and the price is holding 10.5% above the $55.36 60-day low—this looks stale and compressed, not freshly broken.
Leo’s “compression” rests on a price sitting below every meaningful medium-to-long trend anchor. The +0.2269 MACD histogram is contracting, QNT is down 3.3% over seven days, and a move back to $55.36 would erase that supposed cushion; neutral RSI is no rescue signal.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: QNT is 11.5% below $69.10, but the real underpriced risk is a slide through $55.36 once the neutral 49.1 RSI loses its balance. The 7 WIN / 0 LOSS settled record for prior underweight calls supports extending the bearish thesis.
The fastest failure is a sharp reversal from the $60.89 intraday low toward the $69.10 high. The fragile exhibit is the contracting positive MACD histogram at +0.2269; if it turns negative while price holds above SMA20, the bearish setup loses its cleanest momentum confirmation.
Leo overreached by treating a 1.1% premium to SMA20 as structural support; Mara overreaches only if she assumes the $55.36 low breaks immediately. The deciding condition is whether QNT reclaims SMA50 and then challenges $69.10, or instead loses $60.89 and heads toward $55.36.
· institutional Fusion Rollup adoption surprise
· reclaim of SMA50 and acceleration toward $69.10
· short-term support near $60.89 holding and triggering a squeeze
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $69.10, especially if RSI rises above 60 with expanding MACD momentum.
Leo, your defense ignores the flow mismatch: long accounts are 55.1%, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.93. That’s bullish narration with sellers doing the actual pressing.
Theo, 55.1% longs is hardly a crowded cliff, and QNT is still 1.1% above SMA20. If sellers had control, that short-term base would already be cracked.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, your defense ignores the flow mismatch: long accounts are 55.1%, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.93. That’s bullish narration with sellers doing the actual pressing.
Theo, 55.1% longs is hardly a crowded cliff, and QNT is still 1.1% above SMA20. If sellers had control, that short-term base would already be cracked.
Leo, the base is beneath SMA50 and 10.2% beneath SMA200. A 1.1% SMA20 premium is a doormat, not a fortress.
I’m with Mara on the regime: a 9.6% SMA50-versus-SMA200 deficit says liquidity has not repaired the trend. The 74-blockchain headline is a story; the chart is the invoice.
The winning side is bearish. I rule on the 9.6% SMA50-versus-SMA200 bearish structure, reinforced by QNT’s 10.2% discount to SMA200 and taker buy/sell at 0.93. This ruling is overturned by a sustained move above the $69.10 60-day high or a decisive RSI reading above 60 accompanied by expanding MACD momentum.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: QNT sits 10.2% below SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 9.6%—that is the dominant chart fact. RSI at 49.1 is neutral, MACD histogram is positive but contracting, and price is only 1.1% above SMA20 while remaining 0.8% below SMA50.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear & Greed at 68 and long accounts at 55.1% show a mildly greedy crowd leaning long. But taker buy/sell at 0.93 says aggressive flow is not confirming that optimism; the crowd is hopeful, not forceful.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The local headline set includes Quant’s Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains, but the broader tape offers no fresh QNT-specific catalyst with measurable price impact. XRP’s quantum-computing preparation and the Kalshi court ruling are market headlines, not direct evidence of QNT demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The Fusion Rollup’s institutional interoperability narrative is constructive, especially with 74 blockchains cited in coverage. Still, the data pack provides no token-supply, revenue, adoption, valuation, or flow figures to justify a months-long fundamental rerating.
92ed3defcb57eb992b2a8b64ef3a81226d6836ba36260d13c972951ec3c4f1c1adde2046047c35b2be3d774c5e58080e229d71d404353d96fdaed9f2e1bcf4e2Committed 2026-08-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 91 rulings that day · Check the chain
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