QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT’s 4.98% bounce meets a bearish long-term structure and crowded greed
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-21 02:32 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if QNT reclaims and holds above 72.02, the 60-day high.. Cautious read: a break below $60.00 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 6.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that 6. Key support to defend sits near $60.00. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: QNT is still 9.1% under SMA200, with SMA50 below it by 8.8%. But the tape is repairing now—RSI is 58.1, MACD histogram is expanding at +0.6118, and the coin has gained 6.7% in seven days; the old damage may already be priced into that depressed structure.
Leo, that 6.7% is a spark, not a regime change. Your repair thesis still leaves QNT 0.4% below SMA50 and 13.9% beneath the 60-day high of 72.02, while the 30-day return remains -2.6%; calling a bounce a reversal is hopium wearing a chartist’s jacket.
I think the bearish ruling leaves upside underpriced: QNT is already up 6.7% over seven days, MACD is expanding at +0.6118, and Fusion Rollup reportedly unifies 74 blockchains. A move through 72.02 would turn today’s neglected institutional narrative into a much larger squeeze.
The fastest failure is the momentum exhibit: taker buy/sell is 0.84 while Fear&Greed is 72 and long accounts are 51.8%. If the 5.2% premium to SMA20 evaporates, the crowded optimism can unwind toward 55.36 quickly; the recent record’s four WIN and zero LOSS underweight calls also argues against dismissing this setup.
Leo overreaches by treating a 6.7% weekly rise as a regime shift; Mara overreaches only if she ignores the improving MACD. The deciding condition is whether QNT can reclaim 72.02 or instead lose 60.00, with the latter confirming that short-term repair failed.
· Expanding positive MACD momentum
· Fusion Rollup institutional catalyst
· Bitcoin strength above $75,000
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if QNT reclaims and holds above 72.02, the 60-day high.
Mara, you’re treating SMA200 like a verdict carved in stone. Price is above SMA20 by 5.2%, and an expanding positive MACD histogram says the immediate pressure is upward.
Leo, immediate pressure is exactly the small exhibit here. The 60-day range still points to 55.36 support and 72.02 resistance, and QNT is much closer to the ceiling’s failure zone than to a confirmed structural breakout.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, you’re treating SMA200 like a verdict carved in stone. Price is above SMA20 by 5.2%, and an expanding positive MACD histogram says the immediate pressure is upward.
Leo, immediate pressure is exactly the small exhibit here. The 60-day range still points to 55.36 support and 72.02 resistance, and QNT is much closer to the ceiling’s failure zone than to a confirmed structural breakout.
Leo, I’m not handing you the crowd: Fear&Greed is 72, long accounts are 51.8%, and taker buy/sell is 0.84. That combination says buyers have enthusiasm, but aggressive flow is not confirming it.
Theo’s flow point matters because Bitcoin above $75,000 can lift beta temporarily. But if the broader liquidity bid cools, QNT’s 9.1% discount to SMA200 gives the macro tide a wide runway to expose weak relative strength.
Dmitri, macro wind is currently at the back, and QNT-specific Fusion Rollup coverage cites 74 unified blockchains for institutions. A catalyst plus improving momentum can squeeze a market that has leaned too defensive.
I rule for the bears: QNT’s decisive exhibit is the 8.8% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 gap, reinforced by price sitting 9.1% below SMA200. The ruling is overturned only if QNT reclaims and holds 72.02, the 60-day high.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI is 58.1 and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.6118, while QNT sits 5.2% above SMA20. The larger structure stays damaged: price is 0.4% below SMA50, 9.1% below SMA200, and SMA50 trails SMA200 by 8.8%. Direction: bearish; evidence families: momentum, moving averages, price structure; conflicts: short-term momentum is improving; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Greed is elevated at 72, with 51.8% long accounts and a 1.07 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell is only 0.84 despite five bullish and zero bearish StockTwits self-tags, a divergence that smells more like enthusiasm than durable demand. Direction: bearish; evidence families: sentiment regime, account positioning, taker flow, social skew; conflicts: social and account data lean bullish; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline tape is supportive but mostly macro-led: Bitcoin pushed past $75,000, while QNT-specific coverage highlights Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains for institutions. That is a credible catalyst, but the data pack gives no quantified adoption or revenue impact, so the news case cannot override the chart by itself.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
QNT has a potentially meaningful institutional interoperability narrative through Fusion Rollup and the reported unification of 74 blockchains. However, the pack supplies no token-demand, valuation, revenue, or adoption figures; the fundamental case is therefore promising in theme but unproven in numbers.
1ad283bc76ae9f58d48163d9fafca656a9c937a8c51fdf0336f5a776437e99e15c21c070ba128f2a35607134962360a82f87d1bc3398b693184c1393829130b0Committed 2026-08-22T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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