QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $64.625 is pressing momentum while its bearish MA structure still points lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-24 02:37 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close above $69.10 with RSI holding above 60.0 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $63.52 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the 13.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the 13. Key support to defend sits near $63.52. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number: SMA50 is 9.1% below SMA200. But QNT has climbed 13.7% in seven days, sits 8.1% above SMA20, and RSI at 60.0 is nowhere near exhaustion; that old moving-average damage may already be stale and priced into the rebound.
Leo, the 13.7% sprint is precisely the exhibit I distrust: price is still 5.4% below SMA200, while MACD histogram has contracted. A bounce that cannot reclaim the long-term average is a short-covering flare, not proof the downtrend has changed.
· momentum continuation toward $69.10
· institutional adoption news
· crowded bearish trend positioning
Invalidation: A sustained close above $69.10 with RSI holding above 60.0 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, QNT is only 6.5% below the 60-day high of $69.10. That is a recovery structure with a reachable ceiling, not a collapse chart.
Leo, and it remains 16.7% above the $55.36 low while the SMA50/SMA200 spread is -9.1%. The nearby high is resistance, not confirmation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, QNT is only 6.5% below the 60-day high of $69.10. That is a recovery structure with a reachable ceiling, not a collapse chart.
Leo, and it remains 16.7% above the $55.36 low while the SMA50/SMA200 spread is -9.1%. The nearby high is resistance, not confirmation.
I’ll puncture both stories: 57.2% of long accounts and a 1.33 L/S ratio show bullish crowding, yet taker buy/sell is 0.94. Demand is lagging the optimism, and funding is unavailable to rescue that read.
Theo’s tape matters because liquidity narratives are doing the heavy lifting across crypto. QNT’s 30-day gain is only 2.1%, so the seven-day surge has not produced durable macro follow-through.
I rule for the bear side: QNT’s decisive exhibit is its 9.1% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure, reinforced by price still 5.4% below SMA200 and contracting MACD. The call is invalidated by a sustained move above the 60-day high at $69.10 with RSI holding above 60.0.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I see a tradable rebound, not a repaired trend: RSI is 60.0, price is 8.1% above SMA20 and 4.0% above SMA50, but still 5.4% below SMA200. The SMA50 sits 9.1% below SMA200 and MACD histogram is contracting, so the overhead structure remains hostile.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I read a crowded optimism tape: Fear & Greed is 73, long accounts are 57.2%, and the L/S ratio is 1.33. Taker buy/sell at 0.94 says aggressive demand is not confirming that greed, while the StockTwits sample is too tiny to matter.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The QNT headlines lean constructive, especially the claim that Fusion Rollup unifies 74 blockchains for institutions. But the pack offers no quantified adoption, revenue, or institutional-flow evidence, and the broader market headlines are dominated by regulation and XRP-specific speculation.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The institutional interoperability narrative is credible as a theme, but this data pack supplies no valuation, token-demand, supply, or cash-flow metrics. I therefore give fundamentals only narrative support, not enough to override the chart's bearish long-term structure.
ffb5e915bc7dc7e7c22683a33e9e9871e978c62dc9f6c0d4bf5c730b64ca7c1200f6f5bb5b065969cc8e7a7da551e81002c3c601fccb1b62d647adc3d619d114Committed 2026-08-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 87 rulings that day · Check the chain
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