QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT hovers at $58.25 with RSI 33.5, but the downtrend still has the edge
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 02:18 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained close above $60 with RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $57.01 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s $57.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s $57. Key support to defend sits near $57.01. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: QNT is 15.6% below its SMA200 and has shed 11.1% in 30 days. But RSI at 33.5 is already washing out, the MACD histogram is contracting, and price is just 2.1% above $57.01—the kind of stale weakness that can snap back before the crowd notices.
Leo’s $57.01 floor is precisely the trap: QNT is leaning on it after a 4.9% weekly slide, while every major moving average points down. A contracting MACD histogram is not a reversal; it merely says the selling impulse is slowing while price remains beneath SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200.
I think the bearish ruling leaves too much rebound room unpriced: RSI is 33.5, MACD is contracting, and QNT is only 2.1% above $57.01. The risk is a sharp relief move toward the $60 area before the broader trend resumes.
The fastest failure is a clean break of $57.01, because the nearest 60d support would be gone while QNT is already 21.1% below $73.72. The fragile exhibit is the assumption that oversold RSI must produce a durable reversal.
The aggressive desk overreaches by turning RSI 33.5 into a reversal; the conservative desk overreaches if it treats one support test as automatic collapse. The deciding condition is whether QNT reclaims $60 or breaks $57.01, and the settled record favors respect for the bearish side: 4 WIN and 0 LOSS in the shown window.
· Oversold rebound from $57.01
· Fusion Rollup institutional adoption
· Robinhood-listing momentum
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained close above $60 with RSI above 50.
Mara, you’re treating distance from the averages as destiny. RSI 33.5 and a contracting MACD histogram say the downside fuel is thinning, and $57.01 is close enough to force a reaction.
Leo, a floor that sits only 2.1% below price is not proof of demand. The 60d high is $73.72, price is 21.1% below it, and the 30-day loss is still 11.1%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating distance from the averages as destiny. RSI 33.5 and a contracting MACD histogram say the downside fuel is thinning, and $57.01 is close enough to force a reaction.
Leo, a floor that sits only 2.1% below price is not proof of demand. The 60d high is $73.72, price is 21.1% below it, and the 30-day loss is still 11.1%.
I’m siding with the tape, not the mythology: taker buy/sell is 0.90, and long accounts are only 51.0% with an L/S ratio of 1.04. That is mild long bias, not capitulation or a funding-driven squeeze; funding itself is unavailable.
The macro backdrop offers no rescue exhibit in this pack. With Bitcoin-loss headlines totaling $361 million and QNT below its SMA200 by 15.6%, liquidity pessimism has a wide runway.
I rule for the bears: the decisive exhibit is QNT’s 15.6% discount to SMA200 alongside a bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure of -7.4%. The call is overturned by a sustained move above $60 with RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI 33.5; price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 4.0%, 8.9%, and 15.6%; bearish MA structure; 7d and 30d losses. Conflicts: MACD histogram is contracting and price sits only 2.1% above the 60d low. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 29; taker buy/sell 0.90; only 51.0% long accounts with an L/S ratio of 1.04. Conflicts: StockTwits shows 1 bullish versus 0 bearish messages, but that is just 2 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Direction: mixed-to-bearish. Institutional narratives cite Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains and a Robinhood listing, yet broader crypto headlines feature $361 million in Bitcoin losses at Trump Media. The constructive QNT headlines have not stopped QNT from falling 11.1% over 30 days.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Direction: cautiously bullish long term, not enough for this call. The 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup narrative supports institutional utility, while the pack provides no revenue, adoption, valuation, or token-supply figures to outweigh the chart. Near-term price structure remains the cleaner exhibit.
caa605403e9dd4fba3df27656c50c8d239041d643421c7801d40038fe1dcc1452c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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