QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT sits at $63.75 with RSI 41.3 and a 9.7% discount to its 200-day average
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 02:12 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -6.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained break above approximately $66.86 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish swing view.. Cautious read: a break below $61.38 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s “floor” is just $61.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s “floor” is just $61. Key support to defend sits near $61.38. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: QNT is down 7.1% in 30 days and sits 9.7% under its SMA200. But RSI at 41.3 isn’t a crater, the MACD histogram is contracting, and price is only 3.7% above the 60-day low—this is a tired selloff, not fresh air beneath the floor. The Fusion Rollup’s 74-blockchain institutional pitch gives the rebound a catalyst if $61.38 holds.
Leo’s “floor” is just $61.38, a mere 3.7% below spot, while every major average points down. The contracting MACD histogram doesn’t reverse the trend; it merely says the bears are pressing slightly less hard. At $63.75, QNT remains 20.8% below $80.38, and the chart has not earned hopium’s permission slip.
· Fusion Rollup institutional adoption
· MACD histogram contraction
· Short-term taker buying
Invalidation: A sustained break above approximately $66.86 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish swing view.
Mara, you’re treating a slowing MACD decline like a new leg lower. If $61.38 holds, the risk-reward flips sharply because the market is already 20.8% off $80.38.
Leo, support that close to spot is a tripwire, not a cushion. A break under $61.38 would confirm that your “priced-in” thesis was priced-in fiction.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating a slowing MACD decline like a new leg lower. If $61.38 holds, the risk-reward flips sharply because the market is already 20.8% off $80.38.
Leo, support that close to spot is a tripwire, not a cushion. A break under $61.38 would confirm that your “priced-in” thesis was priced-in fiction.
I’m with Mara on positioning: 51.5% of long accounts and a 1.06 long/short ratio show fear without liquidation. Taker buy/sell at 1.05 is positive, but hardly the kind of flow that forces a squeeze.
And the macro backdrop is no rescue boat. With the Clarity Act likely missing its window and crypto headlines featuring account hacks and memecoin frenzy, liquidity appetite is looking for exits, not QNT narratives.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is QNT’s bearish moving-average structure: price is 9.7% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 5.1% below SMA200. The ruling is overturned only by a sustained move above $66.86, the approximate SMA20 level implied by the stated 2.4% discount from $63.75, accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. QNT trades below SMA20 by 2.4%, SMA50 by 4.9%, and SMA200 by 9.7%, while the SMA50 sits 5.1% below the SMA200. RSI at 41.3 and a contracting MACD histogram of -0.04049 show pressure easing, but not a reversal. Evidence families: moving-average structure, RSI, MACD, trend returns, support/resistance. Conflicts: MACD is contracting and price is only 3.7% above the 60-day low. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish-to-neutral. Fear&Greed is 28, but long accounts still make up 51.5% and the long/short ratio is 1.06, so the crowd is fearful without being properly washed out. Taker buy/sell at 1.05 offers a modest counter-thrust, not capitulation. Evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow. Conflicts: mildly positive taker flow and near-balanced positioning. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The local tape is dominated by Fusion Rollup headlines claiming institutional connectivity across 74 blockchains, but those headlines have not stopped QNT from falling 7.1% over 30 days. Macro news is noisier than useful: the Clarity Act may miss its legislative window, while the Robinhood CEO account hack reinforces a risk-heavy crypto backdrop.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Fusion Rollup going live and its stated 74-blockchain institutional scope are constructive adoption signals. The data pack supplies no revenue, supply, valuation, or usage figures, so the fundamental case cannot yet overpower a price sitting 20.8% below the 60-day high.
2191add787af7b3c60ee37f380c759aee184b4d6dc7d375b0940b1809f8d4c5b10578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
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