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QNT / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-12 01:57 UTC
$57.89
-0.68% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-12 01:57 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-12 — latest verdict → QNT
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

QNT at $57.89 sits just 2.3% above its 60-day low, with RSI 31.7 signaling pressure rather than a confirmed turn

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-12 01:57 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
5W–0L–7P · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 56.6–100.0% · n=5 · early sample
2026-08-12 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-19
2026-08-11 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-18
2026-08-09 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-16
2026-08-08 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-15
2026-08-07 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-14
2026-08-06 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-13
2026-08-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-12
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · QNT price $58.25 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · QNT price $61.595 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · QNT price $59.195 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-6.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · QNT price $60.33 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · QNT price $59.525 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · QNT price $60.765 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · QNT price $59.545 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · QNT price $61.01 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · QNT price $59.74 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · QNT price $60.825 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · QNT price $60.87 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · QNT price $61.53 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · QNT price $63.795 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · QNT price $63.645 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · QNT price $61.595 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · QNT price $63.75 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · QNT price $60.765 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · QNT price $63.655 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · QNT price $61.01 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · QNT price $63.9 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · QNT price $60.825 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$57.89 -0.7% 24h
60d high73.72 -21.6%
60d low56.53 +2.3%
RSI(14)31.7
vs 200d SMA -16.0%
30d change -10.7%
Funding (net) +0.57 bp/8h
Fear & Greed27 · Fear
Long accounts47.9% long
StockTwits (self-tagged)1 bull / 0 bear · 4 msgs

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A sustained move above $60.00 with RSI above 50 overturns the bearish ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$56.53
Key resistance$60.00
InvalidationA sustained move above $60.00 with RSI above 50 overturns the bearish ruling.
Main risksOversold rebound from RSI 31.7Fusion Rollup adoption surpriseBitcoin-driven liquidity reversal
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura: QNT trades 4.1% below SMA20, 9.1% below SMA50, and 16.0% below SMA200. RSI is 31.7 and the bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure is intact; contracting MACD histogram at -0.08116 is the only hint that downside momentum is cooling.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed is 27, long accounts are only 47.9%, and the long/short ratio is 0.92. Taker buy/sell at 0.94 confirms sellers still have the crowd’s microphone, while just 1 of 4 StockTwits messages was bullish.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh: The Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains is the substantive QNT headline, but it has not stopped the token from falling 10.7% over 30 days. Bitcoin is stuck as ETF inflows offset selling, leaving macro inflation data as the more immediate volatility catalyst.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand: QNT’s institutional interoperability narrative has a credible product angle, highlighted by the 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup report. The data pack provides no fresh adoption, revenue, token-demand, or valuation figures to outweigh the market’s current price structure.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
2147658462a85dcb7f418b773ec226bd5f06021276ed3ef079185ef4d26dd06a
UTC date
2026-08-12

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