QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT sits at $60.765, only 2.1% above its 60-day floor as the bearish structure tightens
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-31 01:47 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -6.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $61.01 with RSI reclaiming 40 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $59.41 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your spring is sitting beneath every major moving average, and the price has still fallen 4.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your spring is sitting beneath every major moving average, and the price has still fallen 4. Key support to defend sits near $59.41. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: QNT is 13.4% below its SMA200 and has shed 9.2% in 30 days. But RSI at 32.6 is already in rebound territory, MACD downside is contracting, and the 59.41 low is only 2.1% beneath price—this looks like a battered spring, not a fresh collapse. Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains gives the spring a real catalyst instead of pure hopium.
Leo, your spring is sitting beneath every major moving average, and the price has still fallen 4.4% over seven days. RSI at 32.6 only says selling has become stretched; it does not say buyers have reclaimed control. The decisive problem is that QNT is barely above 59.41 while the SMA50/SMA200 spread remains bearish at -5.6%.
· oversold rebound from RSI 32.6
· Fusion Rollup adoption catalyst
· extreme-fear capitulation
Invalidation: A sustained move above $61.01 with RSI reclaiming 40 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating oversold as irrelevant because the trend is ugly. At $60.765, a defense of $59.41 would give bulls a clean asymmetric setup, especially with MACD histogram pressure contracting.
Leo, asymmetric isn’t the same as favorable. The market has already rejected QNT 21.2% below the 60-day high of $76.95, and your $59.41 defense is a floor test, not confirmation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating oversold as irrelevant because the trend is ugly. At $60.765, a defense of $59.41 would give bulls a clean asymmetric setup, especially with MACD histogram pressure contracting.
Leo, asymmetric isn’t the same as favorable. The market has already rejected QNT 21.2% below the 60-day high of $76.95, and your $59.41 defense is a floor test, not confirmation.
I’m with Mara on positioning: 54.8% of accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 1.21, and taker buy/sell is 1.21. That is dip-buying exposure into a falling chart; without funding data, I can’t claim the longs are being paid or squeezed, only that the crowd is leaning early.
And the macro tape isn’t offering QNT a rescue boat. An $8.2 billion Strategy loss and a 5% Coinbase drop after weak revenue point to a broader crypto risk-off regime, which makes a sub-SMA200 altcoin rebound a demanding bet.
I award the ruling to the bears, with the single decisive exhibit being QNT’s position 13.4% below the SMA200 alongside a 5.6% bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure. Extreme Fear at 25 and RSI 32.6 can spark a bounce, but they have not reversed the trend. I overturn this ruling on a sustained move above $61.01 with RSI reclaiming 40; a break below $59.41 reinforces it.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. QNT is below the SMA20 by 4.4%, SMA50 by 8.3%, and SMA200 by 13.4%; the SMA50 also trails the SMA200 by 5.6%. RSI is 32.6 and MACD histogram is -0.2451, contracting but still negative. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving-average structure, RSI, MACD, multi-period returns, support/resistance; conflicts: RSI is near oversold and MACD downside is contracting; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Extreme Fear at 25 is capitulation-prone, but 54.8% of long accounts and a 1.21 long/short ratio show traders still leaning into the dip. Taker buy/sell is also 1.21, so the crowd is trying to catch the knife rather than abandoning it. Direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear & Greed, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: extreme fear can fuel a rebound and buying flow is positive; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The constructive headlines point to Quant’s Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains and a Japan tokenised-deposit partnership with Dentsu Soken. The broader tape is hostile: Strategy booked an $8.2 billion Q2 loss on bitcoin’s decline, while Coinbase fell 5% after missing revenue estimates. The news mix offers project progress, but the market backdrop is risk-off.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Quant has tangible institutional-adoption headlines, including Fusion Rollup’s 74-blockchain rollout and the Dentsu Soken partnership. The data pack supplies no token-supply, revenue, valuation, or cash-flow figures, so those headlines cannot outweigh the market’s demonstrated weakness. The fundamental read is constructive on adoption narrative, but not sufficient to establish a bullish token verdict.
e8f519748ecef6896fdff34efa5e12ca63d07a71c9cd2fee03ae96dabab770b3aaad93392449382ba620b10dc23d021a0aee68e412ac495be7026415dc708c27Committed 2026-08-01T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24