QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT sits at $58.065 with RSI 35.4: oversold pressure, not a confirmed turn
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-15 02:04 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if QNT reclaims and holds above $60 while RSI moves above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $56.53 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD tick is a spark in a rainstorm, not a reversal.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD tick is a spark in a rainstorm, not a reversal. Key support to defend sits near $56.53. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: QNT is 15.4% below its SMA200 and the 60-day high at $73.72 is a long climb away. But RSI at 35.4 is already bruised, MACD histogram is expanding at +0.06042, and the 60-day low is only $56.53 away; the setup can snap upward before the bears get their victory lap.
Leo, that MACD tick is a spark in a rainstorm, not a reversal. Price remains below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, with the SMA50 itself 8.0% below SMA200; a positive histogram has not repaired the trend or reclaimed $60.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: QNT is down 8.9% over 30 days, and a break of $56.53 would expose a fresh leg lower because the chart has no nearby established floor. The 60-day high at $73.72 shows how much overhead supply can remain above any bounce.
I’m focused on the fragile exhibit: RSI 35.4 and an expanding MACD histogram can fuel a sharp rebound, while Fear&Greed at 34 means panic is already visible. The recent record has three WIN and zero LOSS on shown underweight calls, but repeated pushes mean timing has not been clean.
I’m siding with the bear thesis, and Leo overreached by calling $56.53 compressed downside without a confirmed base. The deciding condition is simple: sustained recovery above $60 versus a break beneath the $56.53 low.
· oversold rebound from RSI 35.4
· positive MACD histogram expansion
· 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup catalyst
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if QNT reclaims and holds above $60 while RSI moves above 50.
Leo, you’re treating RSI 35.4 as a floor when QNT is still down 8.9% over 30 days. Oversold readings can persist while price grinds toward $56.53.
Mara, the low is only 2.6% beneath spot at $58.065, so the downside runway is already compressed. A sustained MACD expansion can force a relief move before that bearish staircase rebuilds.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, you’re treating RSI 35.4 as a floor when QNT is still down 8.9% over 30 days. Oversold readings can persist while price grinds toward $56.53.
Mara, the low is only 2.6% beneath spot at $58.065, so the downside runway is already compressed. A sustained MACD expansion can force a relief move before that bearish staircase rebuilds.
I’m with Mara on the tape: taker buy/sell is 0.95, and long accounts are only 51.8% with an L/S ratio of 1.08. That is cautious crowding, not the aggressive demand Leo needs.
The macro headlines are not a QNT liquidity engine. Trump’s crypto meeting and World Liberty’s conditional charter may lift the sector, but neither supplies a QNT-specific bid.
I rule for the bears: QNT’s bearish trend structure outweighs the early momentum flicker. The decisive exhibit is price at $58.065, still 8.1% below SMA50 and 15.4% below SMA200; I overturn this ruling only if QNT reclaims $60 and holds above it while RSI rises through 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura, and QNT is below every major average: -2.6% versus SMA20, -8.1% versus SMA50, and -15.4% versus SMA200. RSI 35.4 and MACD histogram +0.06042 show a fragile countertrend bounce inside a bearish structure; direction: bearish; evidence families: trend structure, momentum, support/resistance; conflicts: expanding MACD histogram versus bearish moving averages; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear&Greed is 34, taker buy/sell is 0.95, and only 51.8% of long accounts lean long, so the crowd is wary rather than euphoric. That can cushion downside, but it is not demand; direction: bearish; evidence families: fear gauge, taker flow, account skew; conflicts: modest long-account majority versus net taker selling; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. The Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains is the only clearly substantive QNT-specific catalyst in this pack; the CBDC and price-prediction headlines are promotional noise. Broader crypto headlines about Trump and World Liberty do not establish QNT-specific demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. Quant’s interoperability and institutional infrastructure narrative has a credible use-case angle, reinforced by the reported 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup launch. But this pack supplies no revenue, token-capture, adoption, or valuation figures, so fundamentals cannot override the chart’s current weakness.
c88ab5071ec3a9bfc1b9bc053e70e914c9c8b9125053886e5aa80ce98a69533ab9992f9aaddcb66d097da88829da3966f8938204256939eecd449461ccbccfffCommitted 2026-08-16T00:20:00+00:00 · 96 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23