QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT sits at $57.775, only 2.1% above its 60-day low as the bearish structure persists
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-16 02:25 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $60 accompanied by RSI(14) above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $56.53 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo is trying to turn a weak bounce signal into a floor.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo is trying to turn a weak bounce signal into a floor. Key support to defend sits near $56.53. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: QNT is 15.7% below its SMA200 and sits just 2.1% above $56.53. But RSI at 34.6 is already bruised, MACD histogram has expanded to +0.05027, and the market may have priced the stale chart damage while Fusion Rollup’s 74-chain claim supplies a fresh catalyst.
Leo is trying to turn a weak bounce signal into a floor. The positive MACD histogram has not stopped QNT from falling 11.3% over 30 days, while price remains below every major moving average; $56.53 is not support until it survives an actual test.
I think the bearish ruling leaves a relief rally underpriced: RSI is 34.6, MACD histogram is +0.05027, and price is only 2.1% above $56.53. A move back toward $60 could be larger than the ruling admits if fear at 34 reverses.
The fastest failure is a break of $56.53. That would invalidate the oversold-floor exhibit immediately, while the 15.7% gap below SMA200 and 11.3% 30-day decline leave little technical shelter beneath it.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating positive MACD as trend repair; the conservative desk is right about the fragile floor. The deciding condition is whether QNT holds $56.53 or loses it, with the prior record favoring the underweight thesis: 3 WIN and 0 LOSS across the shown directional calls.
· Oversold relief rally
· Positive MACD reversal
· Fusion Rollup adoption catalyst
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $60 accompanied by RSI(14) above 50.
Leo, your +0.05027 MACD histogram is a spark in a flooded engine. How does that override an 11.3% 30-day drawdown?
Mara, momentum turns before moving averages do. RSI at 34.6 and a 60-day low only 2.1% below current price leave room for a sharp relief move.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, your +0.05027 MACD histogram is a spark in a flooded engine. How does that override an 11.3% 30-day drawdown?
Mara, momentum turns before moving averages do. RSI at 34.6 and a 60-day low only 2.1% below current price leave room for a sharp relief move.
Leo, the crowd is not washed out: 53.3% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 1.14. Taker buy/sell at 1.06 is mildly supportive, but hardly the kind of flow shock that breaks $60.
Theo, exactly—and the macro tape offers no QNT-specific liquidity impulse. With QNT 21.7% below $73.72, risk appetite needs to do the heavy lifting, and the pack gives us no evidence it is doing so.
Dmitri, absence of a macro catalyst cuts both ways. A small flow improvement can matter when fear is 34 and the technical oscillator is already compressed.
The bearish side wins. I give decisive weight to QNT trading 15.7% below SMA200 while the 30-day loss is 11.3%; that is a structural trend, not a single bad print. My ruling is overturned by a sustained break above $60 with RSI(14) reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. QNT trades 2.7% below SMA20, 8.2% below SMA50, and 15.7% below SMA200; SMA50 is 8.1% beneath SMA200. RSI(14) at 34.6 and the 60-day low at $56.53 are the key pressure points, though MACD histogram is positive at +0.05027.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 34, while 53.3% of long accounts and a 1.14 L/S ratio show only mild long crowding rather than capitulation. Taker buy/sell at 1.06 conflicts with the broader fear reading; StockTwits supplied no usable sample.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
News is mixed-to-bullish in tone, with coverage highlighting Quant’s interoperability thesis and Fusion Rollup reportedly unifying 74 blockchains. The $100,000 QNT headline is promotional noise, while the broader market headlines focus on Unitree and UBS rather than QNT-specific demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Fundamentally constructive but unproven in this tape. Quant’s institutional interoperability and CBDC positioning could support long-term utility, yet the data pack provides no revenue, adoption, token-supply, or valuation figures to outweigh a price sitting 15.7% below SMA200.
44a11a3814291aa7a00467835ce4cf873bcadb038d048bee0868d89224c64748eaff5f24ed3adac83e409d856a55f50f8d212bab4f7befa37a3192bd7340acc9Committed 2026-08-17T00:20:00+00:00 · 89 rulings that day · Check the chain
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