QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $63.16 sits 8.7% below its 60-day high while the bearish moving-average structure still dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-23 02:03 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned by a sustained break above $69.10, the 60-day high.. Cautious read: a break below $60.00 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the +11.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the +11. Key support to defend sits near $60.00. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, colleagues: SMA50 sits 9.0% below SMA200, and QNT is still 7.5% under the long-term average. But that’s yesterday’s wreckage being repriced; price is 6.1% above SMA20, 7-day performance is +11.1%, and RSI at 57.0 leaves room before overheating.
Leo, the +11.1% bounce is precisely the number I’d distrust, not celebrate. QNT remains 8.7% beneath the 60-day high, MACD histogram has contracted to +0.9412, and the crowd is already leaning long at 57.4% while taker flow sits at 0.94.
I think the bullish rebound has more room than the ruling admits: QNT is only at RSI 57.0, trades 6.1% above SMA20, and has gained 11.1% in 7 days. The 60-day high at $69.10 is just 8.7% away, so a clean recovery could expose how stale the long-term averages are.
The fastest failure is a break of $60, because the nearest recorded range floor is $55.36. The fragile exhibit is the rebound itself: MACD histogram has contracted to +0.9412, taker buy/sell is 0.94, and 57.4% of accounts are already long.
Leo overreaches by treating a 7-day +11.1% move as structural repair; Mara overreaches only if she assumes missing funding data proves excess. The deciding condition is whether QNT holds $60 or loses it toward the $55.36 low; the settled record favors the bear case, with 4 WIN and 0 LOSS across the shown underweight calls.
· short-term rebound extends from RSI 57.0
· Fusion Rollup adoption gains traction across 74 blockchains
· $60 support holds and price retests $69.10
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is overturned by a sustained break above $69.10, the 60-day high.
Mara, a market doesn’t need to reclaim $69.10 before a recovery becomes actionable; holding above the $60 area while SMA20 leads price by 6.1% shows buyers have traction.
Leo, traction that cannot clear $69.10 is a rebound inside a damaged range. Your own chart says the 60-day high is still 8.7% away and the 30-day return is -0.5%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, a market doesn’t need to reclaim $69.10 before a recovery becomes actionable; holding above the $60 area while SMA20 leads price by 6.1% shows buyers have traction.
Leo, traction that cannot clear $69.10 is a rebound inside a damaged range. Your own chart says the 60-day high is still 8.7% away and the 30-day return is -0.5%.
Mara, the crowd is long-heavy, yes, but there is no funding reading here to prove a squeeze-ready excess. I see a 1.35 L/S ratio and 0.94 taker buy/sell—support for caution, not a completed bearish verdict.
Theo, that missing funding number is not a bullish exhibit; it is simply absent. With broader headlines featuring BitMart disruption and a bridge exploit, liquidity-sensitive crypto assets have little macro shelter if the $60 area fails.
Dmitri’s point lands on the decisive level: $60 is only modestly above the $55.36 60-day low. A failed retest there would turn Leo’s neat SMA20 rebound into another leg toward the range floor.
I rule for the bear side: QNT is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the 9.0% SMA50-versus-SMA200 bearish structure, reinforced by price remaining 7.5% below SMA200 while long accounts reach 57.4%. This ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above the $69.10 60-day high or by RSI(14) reclaiming 70 with price holding above that level.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
QNT trades 6.1% above SMA20 and 1.6% above SMA50, but remains 7.5% below SMA200 while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 9.0%. RSI(14) is 57.0 and MACD histogram is positive at 0.9412 but contracting; the rebound is real, yet the larger structure is still damaged.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Greed is elevated at 66, with 57.4% of long accounts and a 1.35 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell is only 0.94, suggesting the crowd leans long while aggressive flow does not confirm it; the 3-to-1 bullish StockTwits split adds a small layer of retail optimism.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines include Quant’s Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains, but the data pack provides no measurable market impact from that development. Broader crypto headlines are risk-negative, featuring BitMart’s partial shutdown restart and Sandbox bridge suspensions after an exploit.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The supplied headlines frame Quant around institutional interoperability and a Fusion Rollup spanning 74 blockchains. However, the pack contains no revenue, adoption, valuation, supply, or token-demand metrics, so the fundamental case cannot outweigh the chart and crowding evidence.
68dafa85469a7322997b3ee386d32073397065c0972e376fdbc8dd08ba03a2e48dcc587613f29d0d57db9e6584607b513023911e8f47308581cffaaf7659dcc3Committed 2026-08-24T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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