QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT’s $59.16 bounce is trapped beneath a bearish long-term structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-20 02:26 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of SMA50 would overturn the bearish ruling; the data pack does not provide SMA50’s absolute price.. Cautious read: a break below $55.36 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $55.36. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. Sure, QNT is 13.4% under SMA200 and the 60-day drawdown to $73.72 is ugly—but that’s stale damage already printed into the tape. Price has reclaimed SMA20 by 0.6%, MACD is expanding at +0.2245, and the $55.36 low is 6.7% below; the spring is compressed, not broken.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s “compressed spring” is still trading beneath every meaningful medium- and long-term trend marker: QNT is 5.1% below SMA50, 13.4% below SMA200, with SMA50 itself 8.8% below SMA200. A +0.2245 MACD histogram cannot magically convert a 30-day loss of 8.1% into a reversal; it is a bounce inside a damaged structure.
I’m willing to press the bullish case further: $55.36 is only 6.7% below $59.16, RSI is 47.5 rather than overbought, and MACD histogram expansion at +0.2245 leaves room for a sharper rebound than the ruling admits. The 0.6% premium to SMA20 is an early foothold, not mere noise.
I’m focused on the fastest failure: the entire rebound thesis rests on MACD expansion while QNT remains 5.1% below SMA50 and 13.4% below SMA200. The past record shows 3 WIN and 0 LOSS for underweight calls in the shown window, including -4.2%, -6.9%, and -4.3% relative outcomes; that is the sturdier exhibit than one positive oscillator.
I’m arbitrating that Leo overreached by calling a sub-SMA50 bounce a spring, while Mara overreaches only if she treats the MACD turn as irrelevant. The deciding condition is whether QNT breaks $55.36 or reclaims the medium-term trend structure above SMA50.
· MACD histogram expansion at +0.2245
· Bitcoin risk-on momentum
· Institutional Fusion Rollup narrative
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of SMA50 would overturn the bearish ruling; the data pack does not provide SMA50’s absolute price.
Mara, you’re treating the rear-view mirror as the windshield. RSI at 47.5 isn’t overbought, and MACD expansion gives the rebound room before the $60 area is even challenged.
Leo, $60 is precisely the problem: resistance is overhead while the 60-day high sits at $73.72, still 19.9% away. Your momentum exhibit has not cleared SMA50, so the burden of proof stays bearish.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, you’re treating the rear-view mirror as the windshield. RSI at 47.5 isn’t overbought, and MACD expansion gives the rebound room before the $60 area is even challenged.
Leo, $60 is precisely the problem: resistance is overhead while the 60-day high sits at $73.72, still 19.9% away. Your momentum exhibit has not cleared SMA50, so the burden of proof stays bearish.
I’m Theo Okafor. The crowd isn’t cleanly positioned for a squeeze: 54.8% long accounts and a 1.21 L/S ratio lean long, while taker buy/sell at 0.87 shows aggressive flow favoring sellers. Funding is absent, so no funding-based bullish claim is available.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. Bitcoin touching $70,000 helps the backdrop, but QNT’s 30-day performance is still -8.1%. Liquidity can lift beta briefly; it does not repair a 13.4% SMA200 deficit.
Theo, that skew is modest, not a crowded cliff. If $55.36 holds and MACD keeps expanding, the market can force the skeptics to reprice.
I’m Judge Aldrich. The bearish side wins, and the decisive exhibit is QNT’s 13.4% discount to SMA200 reinforced by the 8.8% bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread. The ruling flips only if QNT decisively reclaims SMA50; absent a data-pack price for that average, a close above the current $59.16 level alone is insufficient, while a break below $55.36 confirms the bearish case.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: moving averages, RSI/MACD, price structure. QNT sits 5.1% below SMA50 and 13.4% below SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 8.8%; MACD histogram is expanding at +0.2245, but RSI is only 47.5. Conflicts: short-term price is 0.6% above SMA20 and the MACD rebound is positive. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed, account skew, taker flow. Greed reads 62, long accounts lead at 54.8% with an L/S ratio of 1.21, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.87. Conflicts: the sample shows one bullish StockTwits message and no bearish messages, but that is just 1 message. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. QNT headlines emphasize institutional interoperability and Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains, but the pack offers no adoption, revenue, or valuation figures. Broader headlines show Bitcoin briefly reaching $70,000 and HYPE gaining 11%, evidence of a risk-on tape without a QNT-specific catalyst strong enough to erase its chart damage.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The fundamental narrative is constructive: Quant’s Fusion Rollup reportedly unifies 74 blockchains for institutions. Still, the data pack supplies no token-economics, revenue, usage, or valuation metrics, so the narrative cannot outweigh a price that remains 13.4% below SMA200.
c36be0dd2ff9321784befb3bdf4e0eb3518df31e0bf65ab191514e2c62d1ffdf3c48fe76cfdb380303016b74f46003f8e487fa46e3f85434b095720b4f300a33Committed 2026-08-21T00:20:00+00:00 · 88 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23