QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT trades at $58.48 with RSI 35.3, but its bearish structure still points lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-13 02:19 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $60.00 with RSI(14) above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $56.53 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the 35.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the 35. Key support to defend sits near $56.53. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number: QNT sits 15.1% below its SMA200 and 20.8% beneath the 60-day high. But RSI at 35.3 and a contracting MACD histogram tell me the selling engine is losing torque, while the Fusion Rollup’s reach across 74 blockchains gives the battered narrative a real spark.
Leo, the 35.3 RSI is not a reversal—it is a speedometer showing the car is still crawling downhill. QNT remains below every major moving average, is down 11.2% over 30 days, and sits just 3.3% above the 60-day low; the contracting MACD merely says the decline is pausing, not that buyers have taken control.
I think the downside is more exhausted than the ruling admits: RSI is already 35.3, Fear&Greed is 29, and QNT is only 3.3% above $56.53. The underweight thesis underprices a reflexive rebound if that low holds and MACD’s contraction develops into positive momentum.
The fastest failure is a break of $56.53. That would invalidate the oversold-rebound exhibit immediately, while the bearish moving-average spread—SMA50 sitting 7.9% below SMA200—leaves substantial overhead pressure.
I think Leo overreached by treating a contracting MACD histogram as a reversal, while Mara overreached if she treats $56.53 as guaranteed support. The deciding condition is whether QNT can reclaim $60.00; below it, the 15.1% SMA200 gap keeps the bear case intact. The settled record backs the cautious side: 4 WIN and 0 LOSS across the shown directional calls, with the rest PUSHes.
· oversold rebound from $56.53
· Fusion Rollup adoption surprise
· MACD turning positive
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $60.00 with RSI(14) above 50.
Mara, you’re treating proximity to $56.53 as destiny. A 3.3% cushion above that low can be a springboard when fear is already at 29.
Leo, springs need buyers. Taker flow is 0.96, and the market has not even reclaimed SMA20; your springboard is resting under a stack of resistance.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating proximity to $56.53 as destiny. A 3.3% cushion above that low can be a springboard when fear is already at 29.
Leo, springs need buyers. Taker flow is 0.96, and the market has not even reclaimed SMA20; your springboard is resting under a stack of resistance.
I’ll interrupt: the L/S ratio is 0.94 and long accounts are 48.5%, so crowding is not aggressively one-sided. That removes forced-unwind fuel, but it does not provide positive demand either.
And the macro tape is no rescue flare. The 20% Securitize drop after weak tokenization revenue is a reminder that institutional-blockchain headlines can evaporate when liquidity gets selective.
I rule for the bear case: QNT’s decisive exhibit is its 15.1% discount to SMA200 alongside a 30-day loss of 11.2%. The call is overturned only if price reclaims $60.00 and holds above it while RSI(14) rises through 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200; bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure; 30d return of -11.2%; RSI(14) at 35.3. Conflicts: MACD histogram is contracting and price is only 3.3% above the 60d low. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Fear&Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is 0.96, and long accounts are only 48.5% with an L/S ratio of 0.94. Conflicts: the sample of StockTwits messages is unusable at 1 bullish versus 0 bearish. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Direction: mixed, with a bearish macro backdrop. Headlines tout Quant’s Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains and CBDC relevance, while Securitize’s 20% earnings-driven drop shows tokenization enthusiasm can still disappoint. The news supports a long-term narrative, not an immediate price reversal.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Direction: cautiously bullish long term, but not enough to override the chart. Quant’s interoperability and institutional-rollup narrative are tangible catalysts, yet the data pack provides no revenue, valuation, supply, or adoption figures to establish near-term fundamental support.
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