QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT sits at $59.525, just 1.5% above its 60-day low, with bearish momentum still in control
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-08 02:02 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $60.00 with RSI rising through 50.. Cautious read: a break below $58.57 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “washed-out” floor is exactly the problem: QNT is still sitting near $58.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “washed-out” floor is exactly the problem: QNT is still sitting near $58. Key support to defend sits near $58.57. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: QNT is 14.2% below SMA200 and down 12.6% over 30 days. But RSI at 36.9 is already washed-out territory, MACD momentum is contracting, and price is only 1.5% above the 60-day low—this looks stale and potentially priced in, not like fresh air beneath the floor.
Leo, that “washed-out” floor is exactly the problem: QNT is still sitting near $58.57 after a 12.6% monthly slide. The full moving-average stack is bearish, with SMA50 6.8% below SMA200, so a contracting MACD histogram is merely slowing deterioration—not reversing it.
I think the bearish ruling leaves rebound room underpriced: RSI is 36.9, MACD histogram has contracted to -0.006906, and QNT is only 1.5% above $58.57. The prior record shows 3 WIN and 0 LOSS for underweight calls, but repeated pushes also show the downside edge can stall.
The fastest failure is a clean break of $58.57, because the coin is already 19.3% below $73.72 and 12.6% lower over 30 days. The fragile exhibit is the oversold RSI reading of 36.9; it can stay weak while the moving averages continue to roll over.
Mara overreaches if she treats support as guaranteed continuation, while Leo overreaches if he treats RSI 36.9 as a reversal signal. The deciding condition is whether QNT holds $58.57 or breaks it decisively.
· Oversold rebound from $58.57
· MACD contraction developing into a reversal
· Fear-driven short-term squeeze
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $60.00 with RSI rising through 50.
Mara, the crowd isn’t euphoric: Fear & Greed is 30 and long accounts are 50.2%. A fearful, nearly balanced book leaves less forced downside than your trend extrapolation assumes.
Leo, taker buy/sell at 0.93 says demand still loses the immediate fight. Fear can persist while price grinds lower; $58.57 is support only until it isn’t.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the crowd isn’t euphoric: Fear & Greed is 30 and long accounts are 50.2%. A fearful, nearly balanced book leaves less forced downside than your trend extrapolation assumes.
Leo, taker buy/sell at 0.93 says demand still loses the immediate fight. Fear can persist while price grinds lower; $58.57 is support only until it isn’t.
I’m not granting a positioning squeeze thesis either way: the L/S ratio is 1.01, and funding is absent from the pack. Without funding data, there’s no evidence that crowded longs will create a mechanical rebound.
The macro tape offers no rescue in these exhibits. QNT is 19.3% below the 60-day high at $73.72, and the market headlines are not a liquidity catalyst for this token.
I rule for the bear side: underweight. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure—price is 14.2% below SMA200 while SMA50 sits 6.8% below SMA200. I overturn this ruling on a sustained move above $60.00 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50; absent that, the nearby $58.57 low remains the critical fault line.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m bearish: QNT trades 3.4% below SMA20, 7.9% below SMA50, and 14.2% below SMA200. RSI is 36.9 and MACD histogram remains negative at -0.006906, though contraction hints at a possible short-term pause.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m bearish-to-neutral on crowd psychology: Fear & Greed is 30, taker buy/sell is 0.93, and long accounts are only 50.2% with an L/S ratio of 1.01. That is fear without a dramatic long squeeze, so capitulation is incomplete.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I see no decisive near-term catalyst in the headlines. Institutional infrastructure coverage around Fusion Rollup and 74 blockchains is constructive, but broader crypto headlines feature Trump Media abandoning a CRO treasury deal and do not directly improve QNT demand.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m cautiously constructive on the network story: Quant’s interoperability thesis and institutional Fusion Rollup narrative support long-run relevance. The data pack provides no revenue, adoption, valuation, or token-supply figures, so fundamentals cannot outweigh the chart over a weeks-long horizon.
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