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QNT / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-07 02:40 UTC
$59.55
-0.42% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-07 02:40 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-07 — latest verdict → QNT
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

QNT sits at $59.545, just 1.5% above its 60-day low as bearish structure persists

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-07 02:40 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
4W–0L–6P · since 2026-07-22
95% CI 51.0–100.0% · n=4 · early sample
2026-08-08 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-15
2026-08-07 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-14
2026-08-06 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-13
2026-08-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-12
2026-08-04 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-11
2026-08-02 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-09
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · QNT price $60.33 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · QNT price $59.525 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · QNT price $60.765 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · QNT price $59.545 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · QNT price $61.01 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · QNT price $59.74 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · QNT price $60.825 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · QNT price $60.87 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · QNT price $61.53 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · QNT price $63.795 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-04 · QNT price $59.58 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · QNT price $63.645 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · QNT price $61.595 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · QNT price $63.75 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · QNT price $60.765 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · QNT price $63.655 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · QNT price $61.01 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · QNT price $63.9 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · QNT price $60.825 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$59.55 -0.4% 24h
60d high73.72 -19.4%
60d low58.57 +1.5%
RSI(14)36.0
vs 200d SMA -14.4%
30d change -9.6%
Funding (net) +0.81 bp/8h
Fear & Greed29 · Fear
Long accounts48.5% long
StockTwits (self-tagged)1 bull / 0 bear · 2 msgs

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if QNT reclaims and holds above $60.00 while RSI(14) rises above 50.0.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$58.57
Key resistance$60.00
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is invalidated if QNT reclaims and holds above $60.00 while RSI(14) rises above 50.0.
Main risksBreak above $60.00 and mean reversionFusion Rollup institutional adoptionOversold bounce from $58.57
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura. QNT trades 3.7% below SMA20, 8.3% below SMA50, and 14.4% below SMA200; SMA50 is 6.6% below SMA200. RSI(14) at 36.0 and a contracting MACD histogram at -0.04945 show pressure easing, but not a reversal. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving-average structure, RSI/MACD, price range; conflicts: contracting MACD and proximity to $58.57 support; sufficiency: adequate.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear&Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is 0.88, and only 48.5% of long accounts remain, with an L/S ratio of 0.94. That is defensive rather than euphoric, but the weak tape still has no demand confirmation; StockTwits offers only 1 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 2 posts. Direction: bearish; evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: limited crowding and extremely thin social sample; sufficiency: adequate.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh. The constructive headline is Quant’s Fusion Rollup reportedly going live across 74 blockchains for institutions. The broader market backdrop is less helpful: the Senate will not vote on the crypto Clarity Act before its summer break, while the Ondo Finance power struggle adds sector-specific noise. Direction: mixed; evidence families: project development, regulatory headline, sector news; conflicts: positive product narrative versus delayed legislation and unrelated industry stress; sufficiency: adequate.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand. The 74-blockchain Fusion Rollup headline supports QNT’s interoperability thesis, while the supplied material offers no token-supply, revenue, valuation, or adoption figures. Fundamental direction: cautiously constructive on narrative, unproven on measurable economics.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
29cda0eacd1503695120954057e0bd91a6e607b5c4e6d3f53d60ab64a54c77e0
UTC date
2026-08-07
Chain head
d5ab890fb0e2dce19809a61a407fc9537e43370de7f1cb9ea0eefa64ec6ed9cf

Committed 2026-08-08T00:20:00+00:00 · 90 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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