QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $63.90 sits 9.6% below its 200-day average as bearish momentum builds
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:37 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -6.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A decisive close above $64.50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $61.38 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your “springboard” is sitting under every major moving average, with the MACD histogram at -0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your “springboard” is sitting under every major moving average, with the MACD histogram at -0. Key support to defend sits near $61.38. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: QNT is 9.6% under the SMA200 and the 30-day slide is 9.4%. But RSI at 41.9 is bruised rather than washed out, and price is only 4.1% above $61.38; that’s a springboard zone, not proof the floor is gone. The Fusion Rollup launch across 74 blockchains gives this battered chart a catalyst the market can still reprice.
Leo, your “springboard” is sitting under every major moving average, with the MACD histogram at -0.04117 and expanding. RSI 41.9 is not capitulation; it is room for sellers to keep pressing while the 52.8% long-account share supplies trapped demand. A 74-blockchain headline is hopium until it lifts QNT back above $64.50, the latest session high.
· Fusion Rollup adoption reprices the token
· Taker buy/sell at 1.15 accelerates
· Support near $61.38 triggers a rebound
Invalidation: A decisive close above $64.50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the latest close at $63.90 is barely below $64.50, so your resistance is one push away. If buyers clear that level, the short-term trap snaps upward.
Leo, clearing a one-day high doesn’t repair a 9.6% SMA200 deficit or an expanding negative MACD. Show me a close above the moving-average stack, not a wick.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the latest close at $63.90 is barely below $64.50, so your resistance is one push away. If buyers clear that level, the short-term trap snaps upward.
Leo, clearing a one-day high doesn’t repair a 9.6% SMA200 deficit or an expanding negative MACD. Show me a close above the moving-average stack, not a wick.
Leo, I see the taker buy/sell ratio at 1.15, but the long/short ratio is only 1.12 with 52.8% long accounts. That is mild buying against a still-long-leaning book, not decisive accumulation.
Mara’s broader point wins for me: Bitcoin is under $66,000 while traders wait on Alphabet earnings, and the macro tape is risk-sensitive. QNT needs its own catalyst to overpower that liquidity drag.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is QNT trading 9.6% below its SMA200 with the MACD histogram expanding at -0.04117. The $61.38 60-day low is the immediate fault line; a decisive close above $64.50 would invalidate my bearish ruling.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. QNT trades 2.8% below SMA20, 4.9% below SMA50, and 9.6% below SMA200; RSI is 41.9 and MACD histogram is -0.04117 and expanding. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving averages, momentum, RSI, price trend; conflicts: price is only 4.1% above the $61.38 60-day low; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 33, but longs still represent 52.8% of accounts and the long/short ratio is 1.12, leaving a modestly crowded long side to absorb further weakness. Direction: bearish; evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: taker buy/sell is 1.15, showing some buying interest; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headline mix is noisy: Fusion Rollup reportedly went live across 74 blockchains, while broader market attention is fixed on Bitcoin below $66,000 and an exploit that drained a stablecoin vault. The QNT-specific bullish rollout headline has not yet offset a 30-day decline of 9.4%.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The institutional interoperability narrative is constructive, with Fusion Rollup described as unifying 74 blockchains. But the data pack supplies no token-economics, adoption, revenue, or valuation figures, so the fundamental case cannot overrule the broken market structure.
58ced40bd7b697a0c5e358bdc39ffd4b7fc3f5f9887fcca95b85190d08162e00d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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