QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $61.36 gets a 1.96% daily bounce, but its bearish moving-average structure still dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-01 02:34 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a decisive reclaim of $69.10, the 60-day high, accompanied by a reversal of the negative moving-average structure.. Cautious read: a break below $55.36 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the $61.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the $61. Key support to defend sits near $55.36. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: QNT is 9.9% under the SMA200, and the MACD histogram at -0.05115 is expanding. But price is still 0.6% over SMA20, the last session gained 1.96%, and the Fusion Rollup is live across 74 blockchains—enough to make the long-term damage look stale and the recent dip look priced in.
Leo, the $61.36 bounce is a spark in a flooded engine, not a trend reversal. QNT remains below both the SMA200 and SMA50, with the SMA50 itself 9.8% beneath the SMA200; a 1.5% 30-day gain cannot erase a -3.2% weekly slide or an expanding negative MACD.
· Fusion Rollup adoption creates unexpected demand
· Breakout above $69.10
· Sharp crypto-wide liquidity improvement
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a decisive reclaim of $69.10, the 60-day high, accompanied by a reversal of the negative moving-average structure.
Mara, you’re treating a lagging SMA200 like an oracle. The market is already 10.7% above the $55.36 60-day low, and a live institutional rollup can re-rate the asset before that old structure catches up.
Leo, the distance from the low is not demand; it’s merely distance. The real test is the $69.10 60-day high, still 11.3% away, while RSI at 49.9 shows no momentum impulse to bridge that gap.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating a lagging SMA200 like an oracle. The market is already 10.7% above the $55.36 60-day low, and a live institutional rollup can re-rate the asset before that old structure catches up.
Leo, the distance from the low is not demand; it’s merely distance. The real test is the $69.10 60-day high, still 11.3% away, while RSI at 49.9 shows no momentum impulse to bridge that gap.
I’m siding with the tape’s dry joke: 53.8% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.16 create mild bullish crowding, but taker buy/sell at 1.00 shows no follow-through. Without funding data, there’s no evidence that longs are being paid to wait—or that sellers are exhausted.
The macro backdrop offers no rescue exhibit. The headlines mention illicit flows on Hyperliquid and crypto onshoring, not fresh liquidity entering QNT; a token nearly 10% below its 200-day average is still trading in a hostile regime.
I rule for the bear side: the decisive exhibit is QNT’s SMA50 sitting 9.8% below the SMA200, reinforced by an expanding -0.05115 MACD histogram. This ruling flips only if price reclaims the $69.10 60-day high with momentum, or the bearish moving-average structure materially reverses.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI at 49.9 is neutral, while QNT sits 9.9% below its SMA200 and the SMA50 trails the SMA200 by 9.8%. The MACD histogram is -0.05115 and expanding; the 7-day return is -3.2% despite price holding 0.6% above SMA20.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Greed is elevated at 69, with long accounts at 53.8% and an L/S ratio of 1.16. Taker buy/sell is exactly 1.00, so the crowd is mildly long without aggressive buying pressure; the single StockTwits message provides no usable signal.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline mix is constructive on QNT’s Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains, but the pack offers no measurable adoption, revenue, or flow evidence. Broader crypto headlines focus on North Korean activity and policy plumbing, neither of which supplies a direct QNT catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Fusion Rollup’s institutional interoperability narrative is the strongest fundamental exhibit, particularly its stated unification of 74 blockchains. The data pack supplies no token-demand, network-usage, valuation, or financial metrics to convert that narrative into a near-term repricing case.
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