QNT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
QNT at $58.825 sits only 4.1% above its 60-day low as bearish moving-average structure overwhelms the rebound case
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-14 02:16 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -7.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -8.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $60.00 with RSI(14) above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $56.53 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s MACD flicker doesn’t erase the fact that QNT remains below every major average: -1.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s MACD flicker doesn’t erase the fact that QNT remains below every major average: -1. Key support to defend sits near $56.53. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugliest number: QNT is 14.4% under its SMA200 and 20.2% below the 60-day high. But RSI at 38.6 is washed out, MACD histogram has turned up to +0.09349, and the price is clawing 0.626% higher today—this can be a springboard, not a graveyard.
Leo’s MACD flicker doesn’t erase the fact that QNT remains below every major average: -1.8% versus SMA20, -7.1% versus SMA50, and -14.4% versus SMA200. His “springboard” sits just 4.1% above the 60-day low, while 30-day performance is -9.8%; that is weak structure wearing a green hat.
I think the downside case understates the snapback room: QNT is 20.2% below the 60-day high, RSI is 38.6, and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.09349. Fear & Greed at 29 can fuel a sharp repricing if price clears the $60 area.
The fastest failure point is the $56.53 60-day low, only 4.1% below $58.825. The fragile exhibit is MACD: a positive +0.09349 histogram can reverse quickly while price remains beneath SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating one improving oscillator as a trend change; the conservative desk is supported by the structure and by the record’s 3 WIN / 0 LOSS history for prior underweight calls. The deciding condition is whether QNT holds $56.53 or reclaims $60.00 with RSI above 50.
· Oversold rebound from RSI 38.6
· Fusion Rollup institutional adoption
· Breakdown through $56.53
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $60.00 with RSI(14) above 50.
Mara, you’re treating a 38.6 RSI like a death certificate. The expanding +0.09349 MACD histogram says sellers are losing traction.
Leo, momentum can improve inside a downtrend. QNT still trades 7.1% below SMA50 and 20.2% below the 60-day high; your reversal needs price confirmation, not a single oscillator.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating a 38.6 RSI like a death certificate. The expanding +0.09349 MACD histogram says sellers are losing traction.
Leo, momentum can improve inside a downtrend. QNT still trades 7.1% below SMA50 and 20.2% below the 60-day high; your reversal needs price confirmation, not a single oscillator.
Leo, fear at 29 is real, but the crowd isn’t capitulating: 51.2% of long accounts and a 1.05 long/short ratio leave only modest asymmetry. Taker flow at 0.96 still favors sellers.
And the macro headline tape offers no liquidity rescue. SEC delays on tokenization exemptions and an unspecified Reg Crypto meeting date are friction, not fuel.
I rule for the bears: QNT is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average stack—price is 7.1% below SMA50, 14.4% below SMA200, and SMA50 is 7.9% below SMA200—while RSI 38.6 and MACD +0.09349 are insufficient reversal evidence. My ruling is overturned by a sustained move above $60.00 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 38.6 and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.09349, suggesting a tentative momentum repair. But price is below SMA20 by 1.8%, SMA50 by 7.1%, and SMA200 by 14.4%, with SMA50 trailing SMA200 by 7.9%.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed is 29, while long accounts are 51.2% and the long/short ratio is 1.05. Taker buy/sell at 0.96 shows sellers retain a slight flow edge; the lone StockTwits message was bullish, but that sample is negligible.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Institutional narratives include Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains and CBDC-related coverage. The broader regulatory tape is less helpful: the SEC again delayed an innovation exemption and postponed its Reg Crypto meeting without a new date.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Quant’s interoperability and institutional-rollup narrative provides a credible long-term use case. However, the data pack supplies no valuation, revenue, adoption, or token-supply metrics to outweigh the damaged price structure over the near-term horizon.
98c07db53984a4e99b6df8c13283caf13ad349351c7ae1eaa86ec922ca052fe053f40f609f1c3a40d35f95df8482a1a109627902af10da6eeb4433219b8978bcCommitted 2026-08-15T00:20:00+00:00 · 95 rulings that day · Check the chain
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