QNT / 研报
呈现档位 = 立场 × 裁判信心度。结算口径永远是三档。
QNT at $59.875 faces a bearish structure: RSI 45.1 and MACD deterioration point lower
⚖ 成文时间 2026-08-31 02:54 UTC
技术面信号强度
看空
C
市场情绪信号强度
看空
C
资金费率费率压力——评级是风险,不是方向
多头支付
A+
KOL 共识结算档案质量
—
档案积累中
各维评级口径独立,刻意不做平均。
2026-08-24 — 减持 — -7.1% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-23 — 减持 — -3.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-21 — 减持 — -7.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-20 — 减持 — -5.8% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-16 — 减持 — -10.6% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-15 — 减持 — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — 减持 — -8.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-13 — 减持 — -7.6% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-12 — 减持 — -6.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-11 — 减持 — -6.7% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-09 — 减持 — +0.5% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-08 — 减持 — +0.4% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-07 — 减持 — +0.2% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-06 — 减持 — -0.5% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-05 — 减持 — -4.2% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-04 — 减持 — -2.8% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-08-02 — 减持 — -6.9% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-08-01 — 减持 — -4.3% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-31 — 减持 — -2.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-30 — 减持 — -2.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-29 — 减持 — +0.1% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-28 — 减持 — -3.0% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-27 — 减持 — -4.2% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-26 — 减持 — -0.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-24 — 减持 — -4.5% — 赢 核验这条结算
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2026-07-23 — 减持 — -0.9% — 平 核验这条结算
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2026-07-22 — 减持 — -2.0% — 平 核验这条结算
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按 settle_v1 结算,7天 vs BTC——失误同样在档 · 完整结算档案 →
coin_evidence_v1 · 判读规则
生成时刻快照,由交易所数据计算——事实,非观点 · 价格 = 4 家交易所中位数
失效条件:The bearish ruling is overturned if QNT reclaims and holds above $60.51, with the bearish moving-average and MACD structure reversing.。 保守读法:跌破 $55.36 即本研报失效。 信心 高,不确定时观望。 空方核心:Leo, the “priced in” story collapses when QNT is still 13.
平衡读法:下方裁定即基准情形。 方向 看空,时限 波段(数周)。
激进情形:Leo, the “priced in” story collapses when QNT is still 13. 需守住的关键支撑在 $55.36 附近。 时限:波段(数周)。
同一研报的三种风险读法 · 内容全部来自当日存档数据。
I’ll concede the ugly print: QNT is down 7.0% over seven days, sits 12.1% below its SMA200, and the MACD histogram is -0.105 and expanding. But that damage is already visible in the tape, while the Fusion Rollup headline—unifying 74 blockchains for institutions—gives the market a real adoption hook; with price only 8.1% above $55.36 support, the downside may be stale and priced in.
Leo, the “priced in” story collapses when QNT is still 13.4% below the 60-day high of $69.10 and below every major moving-average reference. The expanding -0.105 MACD histogram says sellers are gaining force, while RSI at 45.1 is nowhere near the washout needed to call this damage exhausted.
· support bounce from $55.36
· Fusion Rollup institutional adoption
· crowded long unwind already partly realized
推翻条件: The bearish ruling is overturned if QNT reclaims and holds above $60.51, with the bearish moving-average and MACD structure reversing.
Mara, a 7.0% weekly slide beside $55.36 support is exactly where reflexive rebounds start; RSI 45.1 leaves room for recovery rather than proving capitulation.
Leo, support is a level, not a thesis. Price is also 2.6% below SMA50 and 12.1% below SMA200, so your rebound argument is fighting the trend’s entire staircase.
▶ Live Debate · 完整交锋(4)
Mara, a 7.0% weekly slide beside $55.36 support is exactly where reflexive rebounds start; RSI 45.1 leaves room for recovery rather than proving capitulation.
Leo, support is a level, not a thesis. Price is also 2.6% below SMA50 and 12.1% below SMA200, so your rebound argument is fighting the trend’s entire staircase.
Leo, the crowd isn’t positioned for a clean squeeze: 54.8% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.21 lean long, while taker buy/sell at 0.95 favors sellers. That is mild long-side vulnerability, not suppressed demand.
The macro tape offers QNT no rescue: the supplied market headlines concern a possible Bitcoin purchase and legacy money-transfer rails, not fresh liquidity for QNT. Until price reclaims $60.51 and proves it can hold, the regime favors the bears.
I rule for the bearish side. The decisive exhibit is the combination of price 12.1% below SMA200 with an expanding -0.105 MACD histogram, reinforced by seven straight shown underweight calls resolving as wins. This ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above the $69.10 60-day high or a clear reversal of the bearish moving-average structure.
观点是 AI;结算是事实。 · data powered by VeraMind
技术分析师(Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI at 45.1, price below SMA20 by 1.5%, SMA50 by 2.6%, and SMA200 by 12.1%; bearish moving-average structure and expanding MACD histogram at -0.105. Conflicts: the $55.36 60-day low is still 8.1% below price, leaving nearby support. Sufficiency: adequate.
情绪分析师(Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 62, long accounts at 54.8% with an L/S ratio of 1.21, and taker buy/sell at 0.95. Conflicts: StockTwits shows 2 bullish versus 0 bearish messages, though the sample is only 4 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
宏观新闻分析师(Ed Walsh)
The institutional interoperability headline around Fusion Rollup going live across 74 blockchains is the strongest QNT-specific catalyst in the pack. But the broader headline tape is dominated by Bitcoin purchase speculation and money-transfer history, offering no fresh QNT price impulse.
基本面分析师(Priya Anand)
Fusion Rollup reportedly unifies 74 blockchains for institutions, supporting Quant’s interoperability narrative. The pack provides no valuation, revenue, token-supply, or adoption figures, so fundamentals cannot outweigh the clearly weak price structure.
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本篇研报入库原文的 SHA-256。它就是当日写进承诺链的那个值——你可以自己重算一遍比对。
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