CoinVerdict
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SUI / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-29 00:20 UTC
$0.70
+1.95% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-29 00:20 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-29 — latest verdict → SUI
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

SUI sits at $0.6955 with RSI 40.8 and a bearish moving-average structure

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-29 00:20 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A+
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Bullish Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
11W–2L–18P · 4 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 57.8–95.7% · n=13 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · SUI price $0.7417 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · SUI price $0.7642 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · SUI price $0.7821 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · SUI price $0.7642 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · SUI price $0.7584 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · SUI price $0.7642 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-0.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · SUI price $0.8004 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · SUI price $0.7321 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-8.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · SUI price $0.8316 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · SUI price $0.7192 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-13.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-23 — Neutral — -11.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · SUI price $0.8255 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · SUI price $0.744 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-11.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-21 — Neutral — -2.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · SUI price $0.7365 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · SUI price $0.7821 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · SUI price $0.7103 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · SUI price $0.7584 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-5.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · SUI price $0.6781 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · SUI price $0.8255 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · SUI price $0.6895 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · SUI price $0.7365 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-7.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · SUI price $0.6916 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · SUI price $0.6781 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · SUI price $0.6715 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · SUI price $0.6828 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · SUI price $0.6732 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · SUI price $0.6895 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · SUI price $0.6906 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-14 · SUI price $0.6895 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · SUI price $0.6921 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · SUI price $0.6922 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+0.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · SUI price $0.6904 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · SUI price $0.6855 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · SUI price $0.6869 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · SUI price $0.6885 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · SUI price $0.6772 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · SUI price $0.6916 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · SUI price $0.6836 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · SUI price $0.6715 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · SUI price $0.6921 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · SUI price $0.6732 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · SUI price $0.6847 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · SUI price $0.6906 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-0.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · SUI price $0.6955 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · SUI price $0.6921 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · SUI price $0.6814 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · SUI price $0.6904 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+1.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · SUI price $0.7203 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · SUI price $0.6869 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · SUI price $0.7121 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · SUI price $0.6772 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · SUI price $0.7114 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · SUI price $0.6836 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · SUI price $0.739 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · SUI price $0.6921 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-6.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · SUI price $0.7657 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · SUI price $0.6847 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-7.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · SUI price $0.7587 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · SUI price $0.6955 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -8.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · SUI price $0.765 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · SUI price $0.6814 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-8.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · SUI price $0.7411 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · SUI price $0.7203 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-19 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · SUI price $0.7418 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · SUI price $0.7121 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · SUI price $0.7387 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · SUI price $0.739 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · SUI price $0.75 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · SUI price $0.7657 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — +0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · SUI price $0.7527 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · SUI price $0.7738 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
+0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.6955 +2.0% 24h
60d high0.9246 -24.8%
60d low0.6503 +6.9%
RSI(14)40.8
vs 200d SMA -27.8%
30d change -1.0%
Funding (net) -0.16 bp/8h
Fear & Greed29 · Fear
Long accounts65.0% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A decisive close above $0.6960 with RSI reclaiming 50 would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.6503
Key resistance$0.696
InvalidationA decisive close above $0.6960 with RSI reclaiming 50 would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.
Main risksdovish-Fed liquidity impulseSUI ETF-driven demandoversold rebound from $0.6503
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 1 up · 0 down
CoinVerdict — 11W–2L–18P · 95% CI 57.8–95.7% · n=13 · early sample
CryptoMichNL — 0/3 hit on SUI · 95% CI 0.0–56.2% · early sample Verify this settlement
2026-09-01 · SUI None — — MISS
same day, our verdict: Underweight → VOID
2026-08-27 · SUI None — — MISS
same day, our verdict: Underweight → PUSH
2026-08-19 · SUI None — — MISS
same day, our verdict: Underweight → VOID
CryptoKaleo — 0/2 hit on SUI · 95% CI 0.0–65.8% · early sample Verify this settlement
2026-08-28 · SUI None — — MISS
same day, our verdict: Underweight → PUSH
2026-08-21 · SUI >= 1 — MISS disagreed
same day, our verdict: Underweight → VOID
RaoulGMI — 0/1 hit on SUI · 95% CI 0.0–79.3% · early sample Verify this settlement
2026-08-30 · SUI None — — MISS
same day, our verdict: Underweight → VOID

1 of 6 settled KOL calls disagreed with our same-day verdict.

Same yardstick for everyone — Wilson 95% CI, settled facts only. KOL outcomes are transcribed from VeraMind's ledger, not re-graded. · Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura. SUI trades 5.2% below its SMA20, 4.9% below SMA50, and 27.8% below SMA200. RSI 40.8 and a contracting MACD histogram at -0.005684 offer a possible bounce, but SMA50 sits 24.1% below SMA200 and the chart remains structurally weak.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear & Greed is 29, while 65.0% of long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.85 show that fear hasn’t cleared the long side. Taker buy/sell at 0.98 confirms sellers still have a slight edge; funding is unavailable, so I won’t invent a leverage signal.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh. The SUI ETF debut on Nasdaq via 21Shares is constructive visibility, but the pack provides no measurable flow or price impact from it. The broader tape still depends heavily on liquidity, with only a conditional dovish-Fed headline offering a macro tailwind.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand. The data pack gives no token-supply, unlock, revenue, valuation, or network-usage figures, so fundamentals cannot carry a months-long bullish verdict. The ETF listing is an access catalyst, not proof of improving token economics.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
e45b052d6c46ff3c03eb76f439ad367eeb998bd7666653e74c8a87b1d1ee7434
UTC date
2026-07-29
Chain head
e65b9d2c8c3aaa5bbfb44b1c0d548dd39e9b3ad714e19978cc23a37eb1110a92

Committed 2026-07-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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