SUI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SUI sits at $0.7121 with RSI 41.7 and a 27.4% gap below its 200-day average
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-26 00:22 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -11.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Neutral — -2.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -8.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — +0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.7123 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.6503 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “defined floor” is a cushion, not evidence of a reversal.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “defined floor” is a cushion, not evidence of a reversal. Key support to defend sits near $0.6503. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: SUI is 27.4% under SMA200 and the MACD histogram is expanding at -0.002796. But RSI is only 41.7, not a washout, and the 60-day low at $0.6503 is just 9.5% below spot—this looks like a tired selloff with a defined floor, while staking ETF headlines offer a fresh spark.
Leo, that “defined floor” is a cushion, not evidence of a reversal. Price is below every cited moving average—3.4% under SMA20, 3.1% under SMA50, and 27.4% under SMA200—while a -5.0% seven-day return and 0.88 taker buy/sell ratio show the tape is still feeding the downside.
· staking ETF-driven demand
· short-term oversold rebound
· broader crypto-market reversal
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.7123 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating lagging averages like a death certificate. Fear&Greed at 26 means the crowd is already defensive, and a move back above $0.7123 would make this compression tradeable.
Leo, fear hasn’t cleared the sellers: longs are still 64.4% with a 1.81 long/short ratio. That is crowded optimism sitting beneath a broken trend, not clean capitulation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating lagging averages like a death certificate. Fear&Greed at 26 means the crowd is already defensive, and a move back above $0.7123 would make this compression tradeable.
Leo, fear hasn’t cleared the sellers: longs are still 64.4% with a 1.81 long/short ratio. That is crowded optimism sitting beneath a broken trend, not clean capitulation.
Leo and Mara, the positioning exhibit favors Mara’s asymmetry: longs are heavy, taker flow is 0.88, and funding simply isn’t provided—so nobody gets to invent a bullish carry signal.
I’m with Mara on the regime. SUI is down 5.0% in seven days and broader crypto weakness is explicitly in the headlines; staking ETFs need actual demand to overpower that liquidity tide, and the pack shows none.
I rule for the bears, and my decisive exhibit is the 27.4% discount to SMA200 reinforced by the expanding -0.002796 MACD histogram. The risk is a crowded long book, not a proven bottom; I overturn this ruling on a sustained break above $0.7123 with RSI reclaiming 50.
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1 of 6 settled KOL calls disagreed with our same-day verdict.
Same yardstick for everyone — Wilson 95% CI, settled facts only. KOL outcomes are transcribed from VeraMind's ledger, not re-graded. · Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The chart is bearish: SUI is 3.4% below SMA20, 3.1% below SMA50, and 27.4% below SMA200. RSI at 41.7 is soft rather than capitulation, while the expanding -0.002796 MACD histogram keeps pressure pointed down.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd psychology is fearful, with Fear&Greed at 26, but longs still dominate at 64.4% and a 1.81 long/short account ratio. The 0.88 taker buy/sell ratio shows sellers still have the immediate edge; funding data is unavailable.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The Sui ETF headlines and staking-reward angle are constructive narratives, but the pack provides no confirmed adoption or flow figures to prove they are moving price. MarketWatch reports SUI falling alongside broader crypto weakness, while the wider headlines add crypto-infrastructure and illicit-finance context rather than a SUI-specific catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The staking ETF narrative could improve SUI’s access and yield appeal, but the data pack supplies no token-unlock, revenue, usage, or valuation figures. Without those fundamental anchors, the present verdict is driven by price structure and positioning rather than a demonstrated change in intrinsic value.
60312a6fe4ecd58718a1502d6c8a5fb8bff04f1866a7823d83ad54f9dfdb9095abe367d9f6473120ab57274a47b2717a285a90e3afdaff7e89e6c5e549a3ca83Committed 2026-07-27T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25