SUI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SUI at $0.744 sits 13.3% below its SMA200 while MACD downside expands
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-30 00:46 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
Bullish
B
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -11.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Neutral — -2.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -8.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — +0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of $0.9555 overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.634 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the “already printed” story ignores the fresh -12.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the “already printed” story ignores the fresh -12. Key support to defend sits near $0.634. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugliest number: SUI is 13.3% under the SMA200 and the 50/200-day structure is bearish at -15.9%. But that damage is already printed in the chart; price is still 1.2% above SMA20, the 30d return is +9.2%, and the Nasdaq ETF debut gives the recovery a new bridge.
Leo, the “already printed” story ignores the fresh -12.5% 7d slide and the expanding MACD histogram at -0.001059. A coin 22.1% below its 60d high at $0.9555 has not demonstrated recovery; it has merely bounced inside a damaged trend while the crowd leans long.
I think the downside has more room than the ruling admits: SUI is already 22.1% below $0.9555, and a crowded 69.2% long-account reading can unwind sharply if $0.634 gives way. The settled record supports the bearish desk, with 2 WIN and 0 LOSS among shown directional calls.
The fastest failure is a squeeze through $0.9555: the ETF debut, +9.2% 30d return, and price 1.2% above SMA20 could turn the bearish moving-average structure into a lagging exhibit. RSI at 51.1 leaves room for momentum to accelerate without being technically overbought.
The aggressive desk overreaches if it treats the 60d low at $0.634 as inevitable, while the conservative desk overreaches if it treats the ETF headline as trend proof. The deciding condition is whether price breaks $0.634 or reclaims $0.9555.
· ETF-driven momentum reversal
· crowded long-account squeeze
· reclaim of $0.9555
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of $0.9555 overturns the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60d high is rear-view glass. SUI is $0.110 above the 60d low of $0.634, and that 17.4% cushion matters more than a stale peak.
Leo, a cushion is not a reversal. RSI at 51.1 is neutral, not bullish, while the price remains 13.3% below SMA200.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60d high is rear-view glass. SUI is $0.110 above the 60d low of $0.634, and that 17.4% cushion matters more than a stale peak.
Leo, a cushion is not a reversal. RSI at 51.1 is neutral, not bullish, while the price remains 13.3% below SMA200.
Leo, the crowd is paying for hope without confirmation: 69.2% of accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 2.24, and taker buy/sell is only 0.99. Funding is unavailable, so I won't invent a carry signal, but the visible skew is plainly one-sided.
Theo’s skew is the point. An ETF headline cannot repeal a -12.5% weekly tape or a broad liquidity regime that punishes crowded crypto narratives.
I rule for the bear side: SUI is bearish over a weeks horizon, and the decisive exhibit is the -15.9% SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure reinforced by an expanding -0.001059 MACD histogram. The ruling is overturned by a sustained move above the 60d high of $0.9555; until then, the $0.634 low is the critical downside reference.
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Same yardstick for everyone — Wilson 95% CI, settled facts only. KOL outcomes are transcribed from VeraMind's ledger, not re-graded. · Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 51.1 and price is 1.2% above SMA20 but 13.3% below SMA200; the 50/200-day spread is bearish at -15.9%. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: moving-average structure, MACD, RSI, multi-horizon returns. Conflicts: 30d gain of 9.2% and price above SMA20. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 69, 69.2% long accounts with a 2.24 long/short ratio, taker buy/sell at 0.99, and 5 bullish versus 0 bearish StockTwits messages. Conflicts: sentiment is overtly bullish despite 7d performance of -12.5%. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Phantom’s reported second-chain exit is a direct ecosystem bruise, while the SUI ETF debut on Nasdaq supplies a more constructive access headline. The tape still has to absorb the contradiction: ETF visibility alongside a 7d decline of 12.5% and a forecast citing $0.597442 by September 1, 2026.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The ETF listing broadens SUI’s market access, but the data pack gives no token-supply, unlock, revenue, or adoption figures to establish durable fundamental support. Phantom’s reported exit from Sui adds a negative ecosystem signal that offsets the promotional ETF headline.
11bc372681b8619c2f437aa0198b51d90c3a871fd16477a2639f5ff2516a7b130071e3de26d06e3c755183e93ee239d43345bcb211c72f3e329230375244b41bCommitted 2026-08-31T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23