@RaoulGMI — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 2/2 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [0.0% – 56.2%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-30 (1d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC, ETH, SUI
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
3 live · 3 backtested — never merged into one number.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. | MISS -0.1% | +1.4% | 2026-08-30T00:00:07.055190+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SUI | ↑ Bullish | I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. | MISS -9.9% | -8.5% | 2026-08-30T00:00:06.601167+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | I think over time crypto should outperform the Nasdaq over time. | MISS +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-30T00:00:05.234203+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Crypto (Mainly Bitcoin) is the life raft as it not only offsets the annual 8% debasement but also gains value due to adoption effects. | HIT +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-18T20:30:10.889801+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | I've made more money from long-term trends than anything else. And the one I have the most conviction in is L1s. | MISS -1.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-17T12:00:13.117693+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | I go back to the thesis, and I accumulate. | MISS -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T12:00:11.388247+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | MISS | 2026-08-30 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-30 | verdict → |
| SUI | — | MISS | 2026-08-30 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.