SUI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SUI’s 0.7587 rebound sits beneath a 24.3% SMA200 deficit
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:01 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -8.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — -11.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Neutral — -2.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +3.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -4.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -8.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — +0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above 1.074, the 60-day high, overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.6503 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 5.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that 5. Key support to defend sits near $0.6503. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: SUI sits 24.3% below SMA200, and that is a nasty long-term slope. But Leo sees the counterpunch—the coin is 1.9% above SMA20, 2.9% above SMA50, up 5.5% over 30 days, and RSI at 53.2, so the market has already digested a lot of the damage.
Leo, that 5.5% monthly gain is precisely the number I distrust: it has stalled into a 1.557% daily loss, with MACD histogram contracting to +0.005431. A bounce beneath SMA200 is not a reversal; it is hopium wearing a temporary green jacket.
· oversold squeeze from crowded shorts
· 4.5 billion transaction growth translating into demand
· gas-free stablecoin transfers improving adoption
Invalidation: A sustained move above 1.074, the 60-day high, overturns the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 0.6503 60-day low is still 16.7% below spot, so sellers haven’t broken the floor. If RSI is neutral at 53.2, the tape has room to squeeze before it collapses.
Leo, the squeeze is already overcrowded: 71.5% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 2.51. A taker buy/sell ratio of 0.96 tells me those longs aren’t being supported by aggressive demand.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 0.6503 60-day low is still 16.7% below spot, so sellers haven’t broken the floor. If RSI is neutral at 53.2, the tape has room to squeeze before it collapses.
Leo, the squeeze is already overcrowded: 71.5% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 2.51. A taker buy/sell ratio of 0.96 tells me those longs aren’t being supported by aggressive demand.
Leo, Mara’s positioning exhibit wins the flow argument. Long exposure is heavy, but takers are net selling at 0.96; without funding data, I won’t invent a carry edge for the bulls.
I’m with Mara on regime: Bitcoin is under $66,000 while traders wait on Alphabet earnings, so liquidity-sensitive altcoins have no macro tailwind. SUI must first reclaim the 1.074 60-day high zone’s direction, not merely bounce off intraday noise.
I rule for the bears; the decisive exhibit is the 26.4% SMA50-versus-SMA200 bearish structure, reinforced by 71.5% long accounts and a 0.96 taker buy/sell ratio. My ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of 1.074, the 60-day high.
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1 of 6 settled KOL calls disagreed with our same-day verdict.
Same yardstick for everyone — Wilson 95% CI, settled facts only. KOL outcomes are transcribed from VeraMind's ledger, not re-graded. · Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The chart is trapped below the long-term trend: price is 24.3% under SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 26.4%. RSI at 53.2 and price above SMA20 by 1.9% offer a short-term bounce, but contracting MACD histogram at +0.005431 weakens the push.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed at 33 says the crowd is uncomfortable, yet 71.5% of accounts are long with a 2.51 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell at 0.96 shows sellers still have the sharper immediate edge; crowded longs are fragile fuel.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The useful headlines are operational: Sui reports 4.5 billion cumulative transactions and has launched protocol-level gas-free stablecoin transfers. The news tape also carries a Yahoo Finance forecast calling for a 33% drop, while broader crypto attention is pinned to Bitcoin below $66,000 and Alphabet earnings.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Network activity is accelerating, with 4.5 billion cumulative transactions, and gas-free stablecoin transfers could improve usability. But the data pack supplies no valuation, revenue, supply, unlock, or token-demand figures, so adoption headlines cannot yet outweigh the bearish market structure.
04b57cf43012cdb71769306fe89dbf7f3de589ffd770b50b1da7dccc830b5bacd60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25