JUP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
RSI at 54.0 and a 19.4% 30-day surge suggest the trend is just getting started despite today's 4.77% dip.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-05 02:45 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Neutral — -4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -11.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Overweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +16.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Neutral — -5.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Neutral — -5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — +6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.2126 invalidates the bullish setup.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2126 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 'breather' is happening at a Fear & Greed score of 73, which is classic exhaustion territory.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Mara, you're staring at the -4. Resistance to clear sits near $0.2453. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, you're staring at the -4.77% daily drop and missing the massive 30% climb we just logged. That 19.4% 30-day gain isn't noise; it's capital recognizing value. The dip is merely a breather before we challenge the 60d high.
Leo, that 'breather' is happening at a Fear & Greed score of 73, which is classic exhaustion territory. You're ignoring the contracting MACD histogram and the fact that we are still -12.2% away from the 60d high—this is a bull trap, not a launchpad.
· Sentiment exhaustion at 73 F&G
· Contracting MACD momentum
· General Solana ecosystem volatility
Invalidation: A daily close below 0.2126 invalidates the bullish setup.
Exhaustion? Please. The RSI is at 54.0—there's plenty of runway before we hit overbought levels. The structure is intact.
Runway for what? The taker buy/sell is 0.90; buyers aren't aggressive here. They are waiting for a real breakdown, not buying this dip.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Exhaustion? Please. The RSI is at 54.0—there's plenty of runway before we hit overbought levels. The structure is intact.
Runway for what? The taker buy/sell is 0.90; buyers aren't aggressive here. They are waiting for a real breakdown, not buying this dip.
Actually Mara, the long/short ratio is perfectly balanced at 1.01. There's no crowded short squeeze fueling this, which makes the 30-day move more organic than you think.
Exactly, Theo. This isn't a hype-driven blow-off top; it's a steady grind higher. The 60d low at 0.1632 is miles away, the downside cushion is huge.
I'm siding with the bulls. The technical structure remains robust with price holding well above key moving averages, and the recent 30% momentum is too strong to ignore without a violation of the 0.2126 low.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Price action is constructive, holding +3.1% above the SMA20 and +10.5% above the SMA50. The bullish MA structure (SMA50 vs SMA200 +4.3%) supports further upside, though the MACD histogram is contracting.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd psychology is firmly in 'Greed' territory with a Fear & Greed reading of 73. Long accounts dominate at 50.3%, but the taker buy/sell ratio of 0.90 suggests some hesitation on the ask side.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines are uniformly positive, focusing on a 14% rise driven by Solana traders returning to DeFi aggregators. The narrative is consolidating around Jupiter's dominance as the leading DEX aggregator on the chain.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Jupiter is cementing its status as the primary liquidity router on Solana. The recent price appreciation correlates with increased utility and adoption within the Solana DeFi ecosystem.
3de50211f5c3a9a39d4ae97e2fd601aa54a611fe5574ea0e46fa88b6d346c48d4910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165Committed 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 · 76 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25