JUP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JUP holds 16.1% above its SMA20 with RSI at 67.6, keeping the recovery biased higher
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-27 01:36 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Overweight — +3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +16.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -5.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — -5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — +6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bullish ruling is overturned if JUP breaks and sustains below 0.2183 with RSI below 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2183 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 16.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Mara, your strongest number is Fear&Greed at 71 and the 58. Resistance to clear sits near $0.2534. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, your strongest number is Fear&Greed at 71 and the 58.5% long-account share; I’ll concede the crowd is warm. But price is still 16.1% above SMA20, 13.6% above SMA50, and 18.6% above SMA200, with the 50/200-day structure bullish—this is sustained trend strength, not a one-candle flare. The 14.0% seven-day gain shows Solana DeFi participation is feeding the move, while the 0.2534 high remains 13.9% away rather than already tagged.
Leo, that 16.1% SMA20 gap is precisely the exhibit against you: it shows extension, not safety. RSI at 67.6 is already elevated, MACD is contracting at +0.005262, and the 1.41 long/short ratio says the marginal holder is leaning the same way. Calling a crowded, slowing impulse “sustained strength” is how hopium gets a chart-shaped alibi.
I’m more bullish than the ruling: the 60-day high at 0.2534 is still 13.9% above 0.2183, while the 60-day low is 33.6% below, leaving room for trend continuation if Solana DeFi demand persists. The 14.0% seven-day rise and positive MACD histogram show the move has not yet lost its engine.
The fastest failure is a crowded unwind: Fear&Greed is 71, long accounts are 58.5%, and the L/S ratio is 1.41. The fragile exhibit is momentum itself—MACD is contracting and RSI is 67.6, so a break of 0.2183 would expose how little fresh taker demand exists beyond the 1.02 buy/sell reading.
The conservative desk overreaches if it treats greed as a reversal, but the aggressive desk overreaches if it treats a 14.0% weekly move as self-funding. The deciding condition is whether JUP holds 0.2183 while RSI stays above 50; the shown record also matters, with prior directional calls resolving at 2 WIN and 0 LOSS, though several entries were VOID or PUSH.
· Greed at 71 and long/short ratio 1.41
· Contracting MACD histogram at +0.005262
· Broad crypto liquidity reversal
Invalidation: The bullish ruling is overturned if JUP breaks and sustains below 0.2183 with RSI below 50.
Mara, contraction is not reversal: MACD remains positive, and JUP is above every listed moving average. A pullback can reset RSI without breaking the structure.
Leo, then name the room for error: the nearest hard reference is only 0.2183 now, while the 60-day high at 0.2534 is 13.9% higher. Your upside argument depends on continuation after a 14.0% weekly sprint.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, contraction is not reversal: MACD remains positive, and JUP is above every listed moving average. A pullback can reset RSI without breaking the structure.
Leo, then name the room for error: the nearest hard reference is only 0.2183 now, while the 60-day high at 0.2534 is 13.9% higher. Your upside argument depends on continuation after a 14.0% weekly sprint.
Leo, I’ll support the trend but not the crowd: taker buy/sell is just 1.02, so buyers are present without overwhelming aggression. Mara, that also means the long-account ratio at 1.41 is a vulnerability if price loses its short-term trend.
Both of you are ignoring regime sensitivity. The SEC custody-rule headline may lift the broad tape, but it is not JUP liquidity; if crypto risk appetite fades, the 33.6% distance above the 60-day low becomes a reminder of how much air the chart can lose.
I rule for the bull thesis: JUP’s decisive exhibit is the bullish moving-average structure, with price 18.6% above SMA200 and SMA50 4.4% above SMA200. The call is invalidated by a sustained break below the current 0.2183 price level accompanied by RSI falling below 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bullish. I see a bullish MA structure: price is 16.1% above SMA20, 13.6% above SMA50, and 18.6% above SMA200, while SMA50 sits 4.4% above SMA200. Conflict: MACD histogram is positive at +0.005262 but contracting, and RSI 67.6 is pressing toward overbought. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bullish but crowded. I see Fear&Greed at 71, long accounts at 58.5% with a 1.41 L/S ratio, taker buy/sell at 1.02, and 2 bullish versus 0 bearish StockTwits messages. Conflict: the crowd is already greedy and long-heavy, while taker flow is only marginally buyer-led. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The useful headline, colleagues, is that JUP has risen 14% as Solana traders return to DeFi aggregators; that directly supports the recent move. The SEC custody-rule story is broad crypto backdrop, not a JUP-specific catalyst, and the Nvidia earnings headline is even further removed. The news set supports momentum, but it does not justify treating 0.2534 as guaranteed.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
JUP is tied to Jupiter’s role as a leading DEX aggregator on Solana, and the news pack specifically links renewed Solana DeFi activity with a 14% rise. I don’t have token-supply, revenue, unlock, or valuation figures here, so the fundamental case rests on ecosystem relevance rather than a quantified intrinsic-value claim.
7a949006cd2006bcd64767219d82be85c926dcedf7d9b82244e54ec4236cf13064bb1ee510b85abc06eb9d0328d74bef4839ac43e76e5a63e96f0ad2d0a0301eCommitted 2026-08-28T00:20:00+00:00 · 93 rulings that day · Check the chain
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