JUP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JUP’s 24.3% seven-day surge still has structure behind it, with RSI at 63.5 rather than exhaustion territory
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-24 01:51 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Overweight — +3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +16.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Neutral — -5.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — -5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — +6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive close below $0.208, especially with RSI falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.208 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the staircase argument leans on distance from the high while ignoring the tape’s immediate warning: taker buy/sell is 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede Mara’s cleanest exhibit: Fear&Greed is already 73 and long accounts sit at 54. Resistance to clear sits near $0.2534. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede Mara’s cleanest exhibit: Fear&Greed is already 73 and long accounts sit at 54.9%, so this isn’t an undiscovered trade. But JUP is still 17.5% beneath the 60-day high at $0.2534, while price holds 14.3% above SMA20 and the moving-average stack is bullish; that’s a staircase, not a firework fading into smoke.
Leo, the staircase argument leans on distance from the high while ignoring the tape’s immediate warning: taker buy/sell is 0.94 and the MACD histogram is contracting at +0.005514. A 24.3% seven-day rally with greed at 73 can lose its footing long before $0.2534 is retested; calling the remaining gap upside is hopium dressed as geometry.
· Greed at 73 and 54.9% long accounts
· Contracting MACD histogram at +0.005514
· Taker buy/sell ratio below 1 at 0.94
Invalidation: A decisive close below $0.208, especially with RSI falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.
Mara, RSI is 63.5, not 80. The chart says strong momentum with room before the classic overheat zone, and JUP remains above all three listed moving averages.
Leo, RSI doesn’t pay rent when momentum rolls over. The contracting +0.005514 MACD histogram and 0.94 taker ratio attack your continuation thesis directly.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, RSI is 63.5, not 80. The chart says strong momentum with room before the classic overheat zone, and JUP remains above all three listed moving averages.
Leo, RSI doesn’t pay rent when momentum rolls over. The contracting +0.005514 MACD histogram and 0.94 taker ratio attack your continuation thesis directly.
Mara, the crowd is tilted long, but only modestly: 54.9% long accounts and a 1.22 L/S ratio are not a positioning avalanche. Funding is absent, so nobody gets to invent a funding-premium story.
Leo, the macro headlines may be friendly, but the pack gives no liquidity metric to validate a durable regime shift. A move from $0.1632 to $0.2091 can still be a reflex rally, especially with greed at 73.
I rule for the bull case: JUP is bullish over weeks, and the decisive exhibit is the bullish moving-average structure combined with price 14.3% above SMA20 and 14.1% above SMA200. My ruling flips if JUP closes below $0.208, the latest candle’s low; that would break the immediate momentum floor.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bullish. Evidence families: price above SMA20 by 14.3%, SMA50 by 8.5%, and SMA200 by 14.1%; bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure at +5.2%; RSI 63.5; seven-day gain of 24.3%. Conflicts: MACD histogram remains positive at +0.005514 but is contracting; price is still 17.5% below the 60-day high of $0.2534. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bullish but crowded. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 73 (Greed); long accounts 54.9%; L/S ratio 1.22. Conflicts: taker buy/sell is 0.94, showing sellers were more aggressive at the margin; StockTwits had 0 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 0 posts. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Jupiter-specific headlines describe a 14% rise as Solana traders return to DeFi aggregators, alongside a 5% gain amid broader crypto optimism. The broader tape is constructive, but the supplied headlines offer momentum context rather than a fresh, quantified fundamental catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack identifies Jupiter as Solana’s leading DEX aggregator, but supplies no token-supply, revenue, fee-capture, or valuation figures. The fundamental case is therefore narrative-supported, not numerically established.
e7a0d1f9ffa57308347c0a39ce8568d40e01c73980108c5649cb03788168983600f6f5bb5b065969cc8e7a7da551e81002c3c601fccb1b62d647adc3d619d114Committed 2026-08-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 87 rulings that day · Check the chain
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