JUP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
JUP’s 12.45% daily surge has momentum behind it—but 77.2 RSI puts $0.2534 within striking distance
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 01:33 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +16.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Neutral — -5.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Neutral — -5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — +6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A close below $0.2373 invalidates the bullish momentum call.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2373 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost: Leo is treating extension as evidence of durability, yet JUP is 27.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Leo Vance: Mara’s strongest number is RSI 77. Resistance to clear sits near $0.2534. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance: Mara’s strongest number is RSI 77.2, but that’s a hot engine, not a broken one; price is still 32.6% above the SMA200 and MACD is expanding. The 12.45% daily burst and 18.4% seven-day gain show buyers have seized the tape, with only 3.4% separating JUP from the $0.2534 high.
I’m Mara Frost: Leo is treating extension as evidence of durability, yet JUP is 27.5% above the SMA20 with Fear & Greed at 73. His $0.2534 target is not proof of room—it is the obvious ceiling, and a 0.94 taker buy/sell ratio undercuts the fantasy of relentless demand.
· RSI 77.2 and 27.5% premium to SMA20
· 60.3% long-account skew
· Taker buy/sell at 0.94
Invalidation: A close below $0.2373 invalidates the bullish momentum call.
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.1632 is 49.9% below spot; that breadth of recovery says the trend has substance, not just a one-hour squeeze.
Leo, a 49.9% gap to the low is backward-looking comfort. I care that longs are 60.3% of accounts while taker buy/sell is only 0.94.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.1632 is 49.9% below spot; that breadth of recovery says the trend has substance, not just a one-hour squeeze.
Leo, a 49.9% gap to the low is backward-looking comfort. I care that longs are 60.3% of accounts while taker buy/sell is only 0.94.
I’m Theo Okafor: the account skew is bullish but not euphoric enough to call a liquidation trap, and funding is simply unavailable—not secretly supportive.
I’m Dmitri Volkov: the macro tape can erase a 12.45% move quickly; the pack gives me no liquidity catalyst, only crypto optimism and headlines.
Dmitri, absent a quantified macro shock, the observable signal is price: +24.0% over 30 days with a bullish moving-average structure.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bullish side wins because the decisive exhibit is the expanding +0.007223 MACD histogram alongside price 32.6% above the SMA200. My ruling is invalidated by a close below today’s $0.2373 low, which would show the breakout impulse has failed.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura: JUP trades 27.5% above its SMA20 and 32.6% above its SMA200, with RSI at 77.2. MACD histogram is expanding at +0.007223 and the SMA50 sits 4.6% above the SMA200; the chart is bullish, though stretched near the $0.2534 60-day high.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes: Fear & Greed is 73, long accounts are 60.3%, and the long/short ratio is 1.52—optimism is real and somewhat crowded. Taker buy/sell at 0.94 is the counterweight, showing aggressive buying is not fully confirming the bullish account skew.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh: the news flow is constructive because Solana traders are returning to DeFi aggregators, while Jupiter is also adding on-chain Pokémon cards. The broader tape is crypto-optimistic, but the pack offers no hard catalyst with quantified earnings or adoption impact.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand: Jupiter’s core case is its role as a Solana DEX aggregator, reinforced by new on-chain card activity. The data pack provides no token-supply, revenue, fee-capture, or valuation figures, so fundamentals support the narrative but cannot carry a months-long verdict.
3a675459d22b6d8a9375bfb6e701e65a98df55625cbb726ca78abc17b850bb8bb460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23