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JUP / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-15 03:12 UTC
$0.21
+3.99% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-15 03:12 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-15 — latest verdict → JUP
The Verdict
Neutral

JUP shows mixed technicals with bearish sentiment, supporting a neutral verdict.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-15 03:12 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
9W–8L–7P · 9 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 31.0–73.8% · n=17 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-31 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-30 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-29 — Neutral — -4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · JUP price $0.2208 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · JUP price $0.2157 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -11.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · JUP price $0.2447 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · JUP price $0.2157 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-11.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Overweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · JUP price $0.2183 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · JUP price $0.2157 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · JUP price $0.223 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · JUP price $0.223 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
+0.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Overweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · JUP price $0.2091 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · JUP price $0.2059 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Overweight — +3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · JUP price $0.2062 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · JUP price $0.2172 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
+3.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +16.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · JUP price $0.193 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · JUP price $0.2447 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+16.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +6.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · JUP price $0.1812 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · JUP price $0.2183 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · JUP price $0.1695 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · JUP price $0.193 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · JUP price $0.1706 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · JUP price $0.1812 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-09 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · JUP price $0.1809 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · JUP price $0.1692 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · JUP price $0.1808 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · JUP price $0.1695 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · JUP price $0.1885 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · JUP price $0.1706 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Neutral — -5.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · JUP price $0.1874 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · JUP price $0.1754 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · JUP price $0.1923 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · JUP price $0.1816 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-6.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-03 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · JUP price $0.1931 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · JUP price $0.1814 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-8.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · JUP price $0.1942 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · JUP price $0.1839 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-8.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-01 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · JUP price $0.1922 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · JUP price $0.1809 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-8.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Neutral — -8.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · JUP price $0.1963 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · JUP price $0.1808 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-8.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Neutral — -5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · JUP price $0.1985 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · JUP price $0.1885 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-5.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · JUP price $0.1922 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · JUP price $0.1874 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · JUP price $0.1818 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · JUP price $0.1923 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+5.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · JUP price $0.1908 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · JUP price $0.1931 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · JUP price $0.18634 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · JUP price $0.1942 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — +4.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · JUP price $0.1886 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · JUP price $0.1963 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
+4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — +6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · JUP price $0.1925 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · JUP price $0.1985 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+6.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · JUP price $0.196 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · JUP price $0.1922 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
+0.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · JUP price $0.1972 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · JUP price $0.1818 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-5.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · JUP price $0.1953 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · JUP price $0.1908 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · JUP price $0.1928 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · JUP price $0.18634 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · JUP price $0.1935 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · JUP price $0.1886 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.2112 +4.0% 24h
60d high0.2534 -16.7%
60d low0.1441 +46.6%
RSI(14)49.3
30d change +10.5%

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Momentum is mixed: price is below SMA20 but above SMA50, RSI is near neutral, and MACD histogram remains negative while contracting.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Sentiment is bearish, with Extreme Fear, net-short account positioning, and taker selling pressure.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are broad and mixed for crypto markets, with no clear JUP-specific catalyst.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack provides no JUP-specific fundamental, adoption, valuation, or protocol-performance evidence.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
3a530cf39a2dae26921ecc7b88edbe4a5b2a23599a6ae599913e227a40b87ff7
UTC date
2026-07-15
Chain head
fe6d19bbd0dec4d03a8b201098fd67ad3bf99835727f3053ccd256283e21cc8a

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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