IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
Greed hits 73 while price sits 14.2% below the 200-day SMA, a classic divergence setup.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-05 01:52 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: Price closes above 0.1437.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0943 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that monthly gain is fragile because the price is still 14.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that monthly gain is fragile because the price is still 14. Key support to defend sits near $0.0943. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, you're staring at the 18.7% death cross and missing the +12.7% monthly surge that just happened. That momentum proves the bears are trapped, and the 1.49 long/short ratio shows the crowd is actually right this time.
Leo, that monthly gain is fragile because the price is still 14.2% below the 200-day SMA. You're betting on a dead cat bounce while the MACD histogram expands negatively at -0.000223.
The bears are underestimating the 30d +12.7% move; if we reclaim the 0.1248 high, the short covering could drive this to the 60d high of 0.1437 rapidly.
The fastest way this blows up is if the 14.2% deficit to the SMA200 acts as a hard ceiling; a rejection there sends us back to 0.0943.
Mara overreached by ignoring the monthly strength, but Leo is wrong to ignore the 200-day SMA; the condition is whether price can hold above the 0.124 level.
· Bearish MA structure
· Sentiment overheating
· MACD expansion
Invalidation: Price closes above 0.1437.
You call it fragile, I call it coiled spring energy—the 60d low at 0.0943 is a distant memory now.
It's not a spring, it's a trap; the 60d high at 0.1437 is 13.4% away, and this Greed reading of 73 suggests we run out of gas before we get there.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
You call it fragile, I call it coiled spring energy—the 60d low at 0.0943 is a distant memory now.
It's not a spring, it's a trap; the 60d high at 0.1437 is 13.4% away, and this Greed reading of 73 suggests we run out of gas before we get there.
I'm with Mara here; that 59.8% long dominance is a crowded boat, and without funding data to suggest a squeeze is imminent, the weight is too heavy.
Crowded or not, the taker buy/sell is 0.98—almost perfectly balanced—which means there isn't a massive sell wall to stop the drift up.
I'm siding with the bears. The technical weight of the 200-day SMA is too heavy. If we break the recent lows, this collapses fast.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Price action is weak despite the 30d gain of +12.7%. The structure is bearish with SMA50 18.7% below SMA200. RSI at 53.9 is neutral but lacks momentum.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd is overly optimistic with Fear&Greed at 73. Long accounts dominate at 59.8%. This excess optimism usually precedes a pullback.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines are generic price prediction fluff. No fundamental catalysts are present. Market noise is high.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Tokenomics are not detailed in the current pack. Price is driven by sentiment rather than utility updates.
6b055a71f30951492a394cccc4b510e7071c3a20bb8a3eedd33006a42ccbbff84910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165Committed 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 · 76 rulings that day · Check the chain
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