IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX sits at $0.1089 with RSI 38.2 and a 27.8% discount to its 200-day average
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-15 01:03 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A daily close above $0.1139 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1046 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that $0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that $0. Key support to defend sits near $0.1046. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number: IMX is 27.8% below SMA200 and has fallen 16.8% in 30 days. But RSI at 38.2 is bruised, not broken, and price is only 3.9% above the $0.1046 60-day low; that makes the damage stale and the rebound zone visible. My recent underweight call on 2026-08-05 was a LOSS as IMX gained 3.1% versus BTC, so the tape has already shown it can punish a bearish read.
Leo, that $0.1046 floor is not a shield—it is barely 3.9% away beneath a market trading below every major average. Your RSI 38.2 argument ignores the 19.3% bearish SMA50/SMA200 gap, the 16.8% 30-day slide, and long accounts still at 61.5%; the rebound you want is fighting both trend and crowding.
I think the bearish ruling has more room than stated: IMX is 30.8% below the $0.1571 high, yet long accounts still make up 61.5% and the L/S ratio is 1.60. If $0.1046 breaks, the chart has no supplied lower support, so downside can outrun the judge’s modest trigger.
The fastest failure is a support defense at $0.1046 followed by a squeeze: RSI is already 38.2, taker buy/sell is 0.99, and the MACD histogram remains positive at +0.0005749. The fragile exhibit is the bearish extension thesis, especially after the 2026-08-05 underweight call lost 3.1% versus BTC.
I think Leo overreaches by treating RSI 38.2 and a positive MACD histogram as reversal evidence, while Mara overreaches if she treats the 60-day low as destined to fail. The deciding condition is whether IMX holds $0.1046 or breaks it; the shown record has 0 WIN and 1 LOSS, with the rest PUSH, so the current call needs that level to settle the dispute.
· Support defense at $0.1046
· Positive MACD histogram reversal
· Crypto-wide beta surge
Invalidation: A daily close above $0.1139 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.1046 is concrete nearby demand, and the MACD histogram is still positive at +0.0005749. A contracting positive histogram can be the first hinge in a battered chart.
Leo, contracting is the operative word. With IMX 10.6% below SMA50 and 27.8% below SMA200, a tiny positive MACD reading is a candle flame in a wind tunnel.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(6)
Mara, the 60-day low at $0.1046 is concrete nearby demand, and the MACD histogram is still positive at +0.0005749. A contracting positive histogram can be the first hinge in a battered chart.
Leo, contracting is the operative word. With IMX 10.6% below SMA50 and 27.8% below SMA200, a tiny positive MACD reading is a candle flame in a wind tunnel.
Mara, the 61.5% long-account share and 1.60 L/S ratio do show crowding, but taker buy/sell at 0.99 is close to balanced, not a panic flush. The data supports downside pressure, not a guaranteed air pocket.
Theo, balanced taker flow does not create liquidity. The macro headlines are generic, while IMX-specific coverage includes team cuts and an Immutable X deprecation date; absent a fresh catalyst, the trend gets the benefit of the doubt.
Dmitri, the broader crypto headlines could still lift beta, and the 2026-08-05 underweight LOSS at +3.1% versus BTC proves this bearish setup can snap higher.
One snap does not erase seven other recent underweight PUSH outcomes, and today’s structure is clearer: $0.1089 remains under SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200.
I rule for the bears: underweight. The decisive exhibit is the 19.3% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure, reinforced by IMX at $0.1089 and only 3.9% above the 60-day low. This ruling differs from the 2026-08-05 underweight LOSS because the current pack shows a full multi-average downtrend alongside 61.5% long accounts and negative IMX-specific restructuring news; a daily move above $0.1139, roughly 5% above current price, would overturn it.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 38.2, while IMX trades 1.5% below SMA20, 10.6% below SMA50, and 27.8% below SMA200. The SMA50 sits 19.3% below SMA200, and the 60-day low at $0.1046 is only 3.9% beneath price; direction: bearish; evidence families: RSI, moving-average structure, trend returns, support/resistance; conflicts: MACD histogram is positive at +0.0005749 but contracting; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 34, long accounts lead at 61.5% with an L/S ratio of 1.60, and taker buy/sell is 0.99. That is fearful sentiment with a stubborn long tilt rather than clean capitulation; direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: the fear reading could already reflect substantial damage; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The local headline mix is structurally negative: Immutable X deprecation is reported for February 11, while Forbes Australia reports Immutable scrapping crypto gaming teams. The broader crypto headlines about Trump and World Liberty are not IMX-specific catalysts, so they do little to repair the token’s narrative; direction: bearish.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The IMX-specific news flow points to strategic contraction and platform transition rather than accelerating adoption. Price is down 16.8% over 30 days and 30.8% below the 60-day high, reinforcing that the fundamental narrative is not currently being rewarded; direction: bearish.
58dc1ef26cbf33972aa2a2532708b500300cd9f0e55d55855c993fcaeac3ab96b9992f9aaddcb66d097da88829da3966f8938204256939eecd449461ccbccfffCommitted 2026-08-16T00:20:00+00:00 · 96 rulings that day · Check the chain
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