IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX sits at $0.115 with RSI 34.7 as the downtrend keeps pressure on support
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-29 00:28 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of SMA20, currently 9.3% above the $0.115 price, would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1115 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re calling a falling knife “late” because it has nicked the floor.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re calling a falling knife “late” because it has nicked the floor. Key support to defend sits near $0.1115. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: IMX is 29.7% below its SMA200 and has shed 10.5% in seven days. But RSI at 34.7 and price just 3.0% above the 60-day low tell me the washout is late, not fresh; at $0.115, the bad news is already stamped into the ticket. If $0.1115 holds, this can snap back hard from the floor.
Leo, you’re calling a falling knife “late” because it has nicked the floor. The MACD histogram is expanding at -0.001104, price remains below every listed moving average, and the 60-day high at $0.1657 is still 30.7% away. RSI 34.7 is not a reversal; it’s evidence that sellers still own the tape.
· RSI 34.7 rebound from support
· Breakdown below $0.1115 accelerates losses
· Unexpected dovish Fed liquidity impulse
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim of SMA20, currently 9.3% above the $0.115 price, would invalidate the bearish swing ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low is $0.1115 and price is only 3.0% above it; that’s a defined battlefield, not open air. A failed breakdown can punish shorts faster than another stale moving-average statistic can help them.
Leo, a nearby floor isn’t support until buyers defend it. Taker flow at 0.87 says sellers are still crossing the spread, and the expanding negative MACD says your bounce thesis has no trigger yet.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low is $0.1115 and price is only 3.0% above it; that’s a defined battlefield, not open air. A failed breakdown can punish shorts faster than another stale moving-average statistic can help them.
Leo, a nearby floor isn’t support until buyers defend it. Taker flow at 0.87 says sellers are still crossing the spread, and the expanding negative MACD says your bounce thesis has no trigger yet.
Leo, I’ll give you one point: long accounts are only 47.3%, with an L/S ratio of 0.90, so this isn’t a crowded-long setup. But Mara has the cleaner positioning read—the 0.87 taker buy/sell ratio shows aggressive flow remains net bearish.
Both of you are overfitting the coin chart. The only macro help in the pack is conditional—anything remotely dovish from the Fed could aid bitcoin—so IMX has no confirmed liquidity tailwind to overpower its own trend.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is the expanding negative MACD histogram at -0.001104 alongside price 29.7% below SMA200. The $0.1115 low is the immediate fault line; a decisive break below $0.1115 overturns the support-bounce premise and reinforces the bearish ruling, while a sustained reclaim of SMA20 would be the first meaningful challenge.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. IMX trades 9.3% below SMA20, 12.8% below SMA50, and 29.7% below SMA200; SMA50 is 19.4% below SMA200. RSI 34.7 is weak but not deeply oversold, while expanding MACD histogram at -0.001104 confirms downside momentum. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving averages, RSI, MACD, multi-horizon returns; conflicts: RSI is near oversold and price is only 3.0% above the 60-day low; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear&Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is 0.87, and only 47.3% of long accounts are long with an L/S ratio of 0.90. The crowd is fearful, but selling still dominates; that is capitulation pressure, not a clean reversal signal. Direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: low long exposure may reduce crowded-long liquidation risk; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headline tape is unfavorable for IMX. Reports include Immutable X deprecation beginning February 11 and Forbes Australia coverage of Immutable scrapping crypto gaming teams, while the broader market lacks a clearly supportive catalyst beyond conditional optimism about dovish Fed policy.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack offers no operating, valuation, token-unlock, or adoption metrics to support a fundamental re-rating. Gaming and NFT ecosystem coverage is thematic, while the specific deprecation and team-cut headlines weigh on the IMX narrative.
4441a633aa65829eb9ec21a5626c3ef0e9828166a0c238147ba5d72043aaed9be65b9d2c8c3aaa5bbfb44b1c0d548dd39e9b3ad714e19978cc23a37eb1110a92Committed 2026-07-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23