IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX at $0.111 sits 27.8% below its 200-day average as fear deepens
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-11 01:09 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.1111 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1046 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD flicker doesn’t erase the structure it sits inside.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD flicker doesn’t erase the structure it sits inside. Key support to defend sits near $0.1046. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: IMX is 27.8% under SMA200 and down 16.6% over 30 days. But that damage is already painted on the wall; RSI at 39.7 and an expanding +0.0005991 MACD histogram say the selling engine is sputtering, while the 0.1106 close is only 5.7% above the 60-day floor.
Leo, that MACD flicker doesn’t erase the structure it sits inside. A token 10.3% below SMA50, 27.8% below SMA200, and with SMA50 itself 19.5% under SMA200 is not merely bruised—it is trending lower, and the 60-day low at $0.1046 is close enough to be tested.
I’m more bearish than the ruling: $0.1046 is only 5.7% below spot, and a break there could expose a sharper air pocket because price is already 27.8% beneath SMA200. The 60.9% long-account share leaves a crowded optimism cushion to unwind.
The fastest failure is a squeeze from the 39.7 RSI and expanding +0.0005991 MACD histogram. If IMX clears the $0.1111 intraday high, the short-term downside thesis loses its clean trigger even though the larger trend remains weak.
The aggressive desk overreaches by assuming a break below $0.1046 without confirmation; the conservative desk overreaches by treating one MACD reading as a reversal. The deciding condition is whether price holds above $0.1111 or breaks $0.1046.
· MACD rebound strengthens
· RSI recovers from 39.7
· Short-term squeeze above $0.1111
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.1111 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating distance from the averages as destiny. IMX is down just 0.4% over seven days, and the positive MACD histogram gives the rebound a pulse the longer averages miss.
Leo, a one-week pause is not a reversal. Your pulse is occurring beneath every major average, with the 60-day high still 29.6% away—hopium has a long road back.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating distance from the averages as destiny. IMX is down just 0.4% over seven days, and the positive MACD histogram gives the rebound a pulse the longer averages miss.
Leo, a one-week pause is not a reversal. Your pulse is occurring beneath every major average, with the 60-day high still 29.6% away—hopium has a long road back.
I’m siding against the crowd’s comfort: 60.9% long accounts and a 1.56 L/S ratio show bullish exposure is already leaning the wrong way. Taker buy/sell at 1.06 is too modest to call that imbalance repaired.
And the macro tape is no rescue raft: crypto headlines include $361 million in losses at Trump Media. With IMX down 16.6% in 30 days, liquidity-sensitive assets are still paying the bill.
I rule for the bear case: IMX’s bearish moving-average structure is the decisive exhibit. The call is overturned by a sustained move above $0.1111 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50; absent that, the nearby $0.1046 floor remains exposed.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI is 39.7 and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0005991, giving the chart a fragile rebound pulse. But price sits 2.6% below SMA20, 10.3% below SMA50, and 27.8% below SMA200; the moving-average structure is decisively bearish.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed is 29, while long accounts hold 60.9% with an L/S ratio of 1.56. That is hopeful crowding beneath a weak chart; taker buy/sell at 1.06 offers only a thin counterpoint, and StockTwits supplied no usable sample.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The news tape is structurally negative: Immutable X deprecation is flagged for February 11, while Forbes Australia reports Immutable scrapping crypto gaming teams. The broader crypto headlines also feature $361 million in Trump Media losses, hardly a clean liquidity backdrop for a speculative gaming token.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack offers no fresh revenue, adoption, token-unlock, or balance-sheet figures to support a fundamental reversal. The ecosystem narrative remains promotional, but the reported team cuts and Immutable X deprecation headline weaken the near-term platform case.
7a4f991bcf0743912c6f97396764f1fcafacaa30578de8facb76aed5f96971632c8e61ed9717fc037f2346806fbddf89aba5fc9628deaa1b4eb639daad8c0736Committed 2026-08-12T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
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