IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX at $0.1311 sits 23.8% below its 200-day average as bearish structure dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-17 00:28 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A decisive move above $0.1795, the 60-day high, would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1115 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s match is a candle in a blizzard.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s match is a candle in a blizzard. Key support to defend sits near $0.1115. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: IMX is 23.8% below its SMA200 and 27.0% beneath the 60-day high. But RSI at 46.8 isn’t capitulation, and the token is still 17.6% above the $0.1115 low; that makes this look more like stale overhead supply than a fresh cliff edge. A contracting positive MACD histogram at +0.0002378 gives the bulls a match, even if the warehouse is mostly empty.
Leo’s match is a candle in a blizzard. The decisive exhibit is the moving-average stack: price is 4.5% below SMA50, 23.8% below SMA200, and SMA50 sits 20.1% below SMA200. A positive but contracting MACD histogram does not reverse that structure; it merely shows the selloff is losing speed before proving it has ended.
· Fear&Greed at 27 may precede a relief rally
· Positive MACD histogram at +0.0002378
· Broad institutional crypto adoption headlines
Invalidation: A decisive move above $0.1795, the 60-day high, would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating distance from SMA200 as destiny. IMX is up 1.236% over 24 hours and holding $0.1311, so the bears still need to break the $0.1115 floor before declaring the next leg open.
Leo, a one-day gain of 1.236% is not a breakout—it’s a cough. Price remains 8.8% lower over 30 days and 4.2% lower over seven, while the 60-day high at $0.1795 is a heavy ceiling.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating distance from SMA200 as destiny. IMX is up 1.236% over 24 hours and holding $0.1311, so the bears still need to break the $0.1115 floor before declaring the next leg open.
Leo, a one-day gain of 1.236% is not a breakout—it’s a cough. Price remains 8.8% lower over 30 days and 4.2% lower over seven, while the 60-day high at $0.1795 is a heavy ceiling.
Leo, I’d love a positioning squeeze, but the tape isn’t paying for one: taker buy/sell is 0.97, meaning sellers have the slight initiative, while 54.4% of long accounts are already leaning the wrong way. That’s crowded enough to hurt, not strong enough to launch.
Mara, your coin-specific case is stronger than the macro headlines. The ETF and stablecoin stories may lift the sector, but the pack gives no liquidity impulse tied to IMX; capital can expand elsewhere while this token grinds lower.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is IMX’s bearish moving-average structure: price is 23.8% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 20.1% below SMA200. I invalidate this ruling on a decisive recovery above $0.1795, the 60-day high, especially if RSI clears 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: price trend, moving averages, RSI, MACD, support/resistance. Conflicts: RSI is neutral at 46.8, price is 0.2% above SMA20, and MACD histogram remains positive at +0.0002378 but is contracting. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 27, long-account share at 54.4%, long/short ratio at 1.19, taker buy/sell at 0.97. Conflicts: fear is already elevated, which can signal exhausted selling. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headlines point to institutional crypto expansion, from T. Rowe Price’s first multi-token ETF to Visa’s stablecoin platform. None directly improves IMX demand or token economics, so the news backdrop is broad-sector positive but coin-specific fuel is absent.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no IMX-specific revenue, adoption, unlock, or supply metrics. Without a measurable fundamental catalyst, the token remains exposed to its weak market structure rather than supported by fresh intrinsic demand.
c989a5c7bd892fa84a8df9b8afb036286ccea9f32ab67a3ea6331ebe958ab4f570e6e12fe78524df5289beb80d3f4382c89c73b1c7a527091a8c313a2bcf59adCommitted 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23