IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX’s 6.06% rebound meets a bearish long-term structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-21 01:12 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A close above the implied SMA50 near $0.1185 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0943 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re mistaking a one-day spark for a repaired engine.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re mistaking a one-day spark for a repaired engine. Key support to defend sits near $0.0943. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, your strongest exhibit is the 25.6% discount to SMA200, and I’ll grant the chart is scarred. But IMX just gained 6.06% in 24 hours, MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0006336, and price is back 1.0% above SMA20—those are signs the immediate pressure is stale and a reflex rally can travel. I also acknowledge the August 5 underweight call lost with IMX +3.1% versus BTC; that miss argues against lazily extrapolating weakness, not against recognizing this fresh momentum turn.
Leo, you’re mistaking a one-day spark for a repaired engine. The 6.06% jump still leaves IMX 8.3% below SMA50, 25.6% below SMA200, and 30.0% below the 60-day high at $0.1571; your MACD twitch has not reversed that architecture. The August 5 underweight call did lose at +3.1% versus BTC, but that isolated miss does not erase the 14.3% 30-day drawdown or the crowd’s vulnerable 59.9% long bias.
· 6.06% momentum rebound extends
· MACD histogram keeps expanding
· market-wide crypto liquidity lifts IMX
Invalidation: A close above the implied SMA50 near $0.1185 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, price is at $0.1101 against a 60-day low of $0.0943, already 16.6% above the floor. That recovery zone gives the expanding MACD room to force shorts to chase the tape.
Leo, the floor is still 14.3% below the current 30-day starting point, and the 60-day high is 30.0% away. A bounce that cannot reclaim SMA50 is merely a lower-high candidate.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, price is at $0.1101 against a 60-day low of $0.0943, already 16.6% above the floor. That recovery zone gives the expanding MACD room to force shorts to chase the tape.
Leo, the floor is still 14.3% below the current 30-day starting point, and the 60-day high is 30.0% away. A bounce that cannot reclaim SMA50 is merely a lower-high candidate.
Leo, I’m not seeing clean demand: taker buy/sell is 0.93 while 59.9% of accounts are already long. Greed at 72 with sub-one taker flow is a crowded optimism problem, not confirmation.
Mara has the regime argument: the market headlines may lift Bitcoin, but nothing here proves that liquidity reaches IMX. The restructuring headline—Immutable scrapping crypto gaming teams—keeps the macro-to-token transmission fragile.
I rule for the bears: IMX is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure—SMA50 sits 18.9% below SMA200 while price remains 25.6% below SMA200—overwhelming one day of momentum. This differs from the recent losing underweight call on August 5, when IMX returned +3.1% versus BTC: today the rebound faces 59.9% long accounts, 0.93 taker buy/sell, and no recovery above SMA50. A close above $0.1185, approximately 8.3% above the current price and the implied SMA50 level, overturns my ruling.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
IMX trades at $0.1101, only 1.0% above SMA20 but 8.3% below SMA50 and 25.6% below SMA200. RSI is 47.5 while MACD histogram expands to +0.0006336: a short bounce inside a damaged trend.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd appetite is hot: Fear & Greed is 72 and 59.9% of accounts are long, with an L/S ratio of 1.50. Yet taker buy/sell is only 0.93, so aggressive buying is not confirming the bullish crowd.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines mix regulatory optimism with serious company restructuring: potential U.S. crypto rules and Bitcoin upside sit beside Forbes Australia’s report that Immutable scrapped crypto gaming teams. The Elowyn Marketplace launch is tangible, but prediction articles add little evidentiary weight.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack gives one constructive operating signal—the Elowyn Marketplace launch—but no revenue, adoption, token-unlock, valuation, or network-usage figures. That leaves the fundamental case too thin to offset IMX’s 30-day decline of 14.3%.
e6f8aa7593255b88023ddcd8871e69e13a84c3c1ec333b0310e85a4d5eada5e55c21c070ba128f2a35607134962360a82f87d1bc3398b693184c1393829130b0Committed 2026-08-22T00:20:00+00:00 · 92 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22