IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX sits at $0.1086 with RSI 37.2, but the bearish structure still dominates
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-16 01:14 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.1088 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1046 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that $0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that $0. Key support to defend sits near $0.1046. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: IMX is 27.8% below SMA200 and down 14.7% over 30 days. But RSI at 37.2, a $0.1046 floor only 3.4% below spot, and a positive MACD histogram say the washout is getting tired; the bear case may be stale and priced into the tape. Our recent underweight calls on August 5 lost with IMX outperforming BTC by 3.1%, while the other August 2–8 calls mostly pushed, so blindly pressing the same story has already cost us one clean miss.
Leo, that $0.1046 floor is exactly the number you’re dressing up as salvation: it is only 3.4% below spot, leaving almost no room for another leg before the supposed support is tested. RSI 37.2 is weak, not washed out, and price remains below every major average, with SMA50 already 19.1% under SMA200. The August 5 underweight loss at +3.1% versus BTC proves a rebound can punish the call, but it does not repair this broken structure.
· support-driven rebound
· crowded long-account unwind
· unconfirmed funding conditions
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.1088 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating distance from support as proof of failure. A contracting MACD histogram at +0.000539 and a 1.11 taker buy/sell ratio show buyers are at least tapping the brakes.
Theo would call 63.2% long accounts and a 1.72 long/short ratio a crowded cushion, not a brake. If $0.1046 breaks, those longs become supply while the token is still 31.1% below its 60-day high.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, you’re treating distance from support as proof of failure. A contracting MACD histogram at +0.000539 and a 1.11 taker buy/sell ratio show buyers are at least tapping the brakes.
Theo would call 63.2% long accounts and a 1.72 long/short ratio a crowded cushion, not a brake. If $0.1046 breaks, those longs become supply while the token is still 31.1% below its 60-day high.
I’m with Mara on the crowding math: fear at 34 coexists with a long-heavy account base. Taker flow is mildly positive, but without funding data I can’t claim the crowd is being paid to stay long or that capitulation has arrived.
And the macro tape offers no IMX rescue in this pack. UBS’s Bitcoin-options headline and Unitree’s IPO chatter are broad risk curiosities, not evidence that liquidity is rotating into Immutable.
Dmitri, that’s fair on catalysts, but a 7-day loss of only 1.1% after a 30-day slide can still mark compression before a reflex bounce. The decisive question is whether $0.1046 holds, not whether the headline tape feels inspiring.
I rule bearish: the decisive exhibit is the combination of price 27.8% below SMA200 and SMA50 19.1% below SMA200, reinforced by the 63.2% long-account skew. This differs from the recent underweight record because the August 5 +3.1% BTC-relative loss occurred without today’s explicit $0.1046 proximity test and current long-crowding setup; the ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above $0.1088 with RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The chart is pinned near the $0.1046 60-day low, while price sits 10.8% below SMA50 and 27.8% below SMA200. RSI 37.2 and contracting positive MACD histogram offer a weak stabilization signal, not a reversal; direction: bearish; evidence families: moving averages, RSI, MACD, support/resistance; conflicts: RSI is above oversold territory and MACD remains positive; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed is 34, yet 63.2% of long accounts and a 1.72 long/short ratio show that fear has not cleared the crowd. Taker buy/sell at 1.11 is mildly supportive, but the long skew leaves IMX vulnerable if $0.1046 fails; direction: bearish; evidence families: Fear & Greed, account skew, taker flow; conflicts: taker buy/sell is 1.11 and fear can support contrarian rebounds; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline mix is hostile to clean recovery: reports cite Immutable scrapping crypto-gaming teams and an Immutable X deprecation beginning February 11. Price-prediction articles add promotional noise, while the broader market headlines on Unitree and UBS do not provide a direct IMX catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The news pack points to restructuring and platform-transition risk rather than accelerating network demand. With IMX down 14.7% over 30 days and 31.1% below the 60-day high, the token needs operating evidence that is absent from this data pack.
07a70689145e2b39f520fb89eff94cd9f4ec12e6362da86c914778877bd482a9eaff5f24ed3adac83e409d856a55f50f8d212bab4f7befa37a3192bd7340acc9Committed 2026-08-17T00:20:00+00:00 · 89 rulings that day · Check the chain
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