IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX at $0.1318 is bouncing, but the 0.1318 price still sits 10.1% below its SMA200
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 01:08 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if IMX reclaims and holds above the 60-day high at $0.1571.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0943 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: That 21.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: That 21. Key support to defend sits near $0.0943. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: IMX is still 10.1% under its SMA200, and the SMA50 sits 18.8% below it. But price has clawed 21.5% higher over 30 days, trades 13.3% above the SMA20, and RSI at 64.5 says the tape has real torque; the old downtrend may be stale baggage already being repriced.
That 21.5% rally is exactly the number hopium wants framed as a regime change, yet IMX remains 16.1% below the 60-day high of $0.1571. The contracting MACD histogram and SMA50/SMA200 spread show a rebound inside a damaged structure, not a repaired one.
I see more downside room than the ruling admits: IMX is still 16.1% below $0.1571, while taker buy/sell is 0.89 and the MACD histogram is contracting. The three settled underweight wins, including -12.9% and -12.8% versus BTC, suggest the bearish edge has not been exhausted.
The fastest failure point is the short-term tape: IMX is 13.3% above SMA20, 10.8% above SMA50, up 21.5% in 30 days, and RSI is 64.5. If that momentum carries through $0.1571, the long-term averages become a lagging exhibit rather than the decisive one.
The aggressive case overreaches by treating the settled record as a permanent edge; it contains only three wins and no losses in the shown window. The deciding condition is whether IMX reclaims $0.1571 or instead rolls over while the contracting +0.002778 MACD histogram confirms fading momentum.
· short-term momentum extension
· RSI 64.5 can sustain a breakout
· headline-driven gaming-sector rebound
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated if IMX reclaims and holds above the 60-day high at $0.1571.
Mara, you’re treating the SMA200 like a gravestone, but the market has already pushed 13.3% above the SMA20 and 10.8% above the SMA50.
Leo, a 13.3% stretch above the SMA20 is not proof of durability; it is precisely how a rebound becomes vulnerable when RSI is already 64.5.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(6)
Mara, you’re treating the SMA200 like a gravestone, but the market has already pushed 13.3% above the SMA20 and 10.8% above the SMA50.
Leo, a 13.3% stretch above the SMA20 is not proof of durability; it is precisely how a rebound becomes vulnerable when RSI is already 64.5.
Leo, the crowd isn’t providing clean fuel: long accounts are 58.0%, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.89. That is a poor confirmation profile, and funding is unavailable rather than supportive.
The macro tape gets no help from this pack. With IMX still 16.1% below $0.1571 and the long-term averages bearish, liquidity optimism is doing more talking than evidence.
Theo, 58.0% longs are hardly a crowded extreme, and a 6.6% seven-day gain says sellers have already lost some control.
A 6.6% week cannot erase three settled underweight wins, including -12.9% and -12.8% versus BTC. The burden is on the bounce to prove it can reclaim the old range.
I rule for the bear side: IMX’s decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average structure, with SMA50 18.8% below SMA200 while price remains 10.1% beneath SMA200. This ruling is overturned by a decisive reclaim of the 60-day high at $0.1571, or by a materially stronger momentum structure that invalidates the present trend signal.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI(14) 64.5; price +13.3% versus SMA20 and +10.8% versus SMA50; price -10.1% versus SMA200; SMA50 is 18.8% below SMA200; MACD histogram +0.002778 but contracting. Conflicts: short-term momentum is positive while the longer-term moving-average structure remains bearish. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 73; long accounts 58.0% with an L/S ratio of 1.38; taker buy/sell at 0.89. Conflicts: seven-day and 30-day gains of 6.6% and 21.5% show improving price appetite, but derivatives flow favors sellers. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline mix is not a clean catalyst: Immutable X deprecation is reported for February 11, while Forbes Australia reports Immutable scrapping crypto gaming teams amid a $3.5 billion unicorn reshaping. Prediction-market and quote pages add little fundamental evidence, and the broader market headlines concern Kalshi and Ethena rather than IMX.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack offers no operating, revenue, adoption, supply, or valuation figures for IMX. The clearest coin-specific fundamental headline is Immutable X deprecation, alongside reported cuts to crypto gaming teams; that backdrop does not support a bullish fundamental premium.
7fdc00fdd143b26d7be17b58cbd33f492d6afa95e7d26632afe15df455efe084b460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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