IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX at $0.1253 faces a bearish stack: RSI 42.7 and MACD deterioration point lower
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 01:09 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.1320 accompanied by RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1115 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “near the floor” pitch is hopium wearing a risk-reward costume.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “near the floor” pitch is hopium wearing a risk-reward costume. Key support to defend sits near $0.1115. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: IMX is 25.2% below its SMA200, and the MACD histogram is expanding at -0.0002164. But that damage is already stamped into the tape; with price only 12.3% above the 60-day low of $0.1115, the payoff sits near the floor, not in the rear-view mirror.
Leo, that “near the floor” pitch is hopium wearing a risk-reward costume. Price is below every major moving average, down 6.5% over 30 days, and takers buy at only 0.82 versus sells—there’s no reversal exhibit, just a falling knife with 54.7% of accounts still leaning long.
· Short-term rebound from the $0.1115 low
· Unexpected Immutable ecosystem catalyst
· Broad crypto liquidity reversal
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of $0.1320 accompanied by RSI above 50.
Mara, RSI at 42.7 isn’t capitulation; that’s precisely why a modest catalyst can snap this back toward the $0.1734 high.
Leo, a 27.8% gap to that high is not a catalyst—it’s a wish. The immediate evidence is the expanding negative MACD and the -5.0% SMA20 discount.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, RSI at 42.7 isn’t capitulation; that’s precisely why a modest catalyst can snap this back toward the $0.1734 high.
Leo, a 27.8% gap to that high is not a catalyst—it’s a wish. The immediate evidence is the expanding negative MACD and the -5.0% SMA20 discount.
Leo and Mara, positioning settles it for me: a 1.21 long/short ratio with a 0.82 taker ratio means longs are present, but aggressive buyers aren’t.
Theo’s right. With the Clarity Act window slipping and broader memecoin-market disorder, liquidity is not offering IMX a friendly tide.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is IMX trading 25.2% below its SMA200 while the MACD histogram expands negatively. I overturn this ruling only if price reclaims $0.1320 and RSI rises above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. IMX sits 5.0% below SMA20, 6.0% below SMA50, and 25.2% below SMA200; the SMA50 is 20.4% under the SMA200. RSI 42.7 is weak but not yet oversold, while the expanding -0.0002164 MACD histogram keeps pressure pointed down.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear&Greed at 28 and a 0.82 taker buy/sell ratio show defensive crowd behavior. Yet long accounts still lead at 54.7% with a 1.21 long/short ratio, leaving bullish positioning vulnerable to another flush.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. Reports that Immutable is scrapping crypto gaming teams and beginning Immutable X deprecation on February 11 create a direct narrative and transition overhang. The wider headlines—delayed Clarity Act progress and a hacked Robinhood CEO account—add risk-off noise, not an IMX catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Bearish. The Immutable X deprecation headline raises questions about ecosystem continuity and token utility during the transition. The data pack provides no operating, valuation, or token-supply metrics to support a fundamental recovery case.
08302ba41e14ee55fdd02da6a31b5ec3fdd7ca5e6c325553af64cd59cf0bc08710578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23