IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX trades at $0.1249 with bearish momentum and a 41 RSI
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:29 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $0.1795, preferably with RSI above 50 and a non-negative MACD histogram.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1115 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your $0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your $0. Key support to defend sits near $0.1115. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: IMX is 26.7% under its SMA200 and has lost 13.5% in 30 days. But RSI is 41.0, not a panic reading, and price is only 11.9% above the 60-day low at $0.1115; the damage may be stale and a bounce can start before the chart looks pretty.
Leo, your $0.1115 argument is precisely the trap: being only 11.9% above support proves proximity to failure, not upside. The expanding negative MACD histogram, a 0.81 taker buy/sell ratio, and a 13.5% monthly slide attack the claim that the selling is already priced in.
· reflex bounce from $0.1115 support
· fear-driven short squeeze
· broad crypto-market rebound
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained break above $0.1795, preferably with RSI above 50 and a non-negative MACD histogram.
Mara, fear is already visible at 29, and RSI 41.0 leaves room for a reflex rally. If sellers had total control, long accounts wouldn’t still sit at 50.9%.
That 50.9% is not buying pressure, Leo; it’s stranded optimism. Taker flow at 0.81 says the active money is selling, while the SMA50 is 20.7% below the SMA200.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, fear is already visible at 29, and RSI 41.0 leaves room for a reflex rally. If sellers had total control, long accounts wouldn’t still sit at 50.9%.
That 50.9% is not buying pressure, Leo; it’s stranded optimism. Taker flow at 0.81 says the active money is selling, while the SMA50 is 20.7% below the SMA200.
I’m with Mara on the flow tape: the 1.04 L/S ratio is barely long-biased, but takers are decisively skewed sell-side at 0.81. There’s no funding-rate data here to rescue the bulls with a squeeze thesis.
And bitcoin under $64,000 amid an oil bounce and AI-driven risk-off headlines is a poor liquidity regime for a weak altcoin. IMX needs market beta to turn before its own chart can carry the load.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is the expanding -0.0004714 MACD histogram beneath a moving-average structure where price is 26.7% below the SMA200. My ruling is overturned by a sustained move above $0.1795, the 60-day high, or by a clear RSI recovery above 50 alongside improving momentum.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I see a bearish trend across every major frame: IMX sits 5.3% below its SMA20, 7.6% below SMA50, and 26.7% below SMA200. The expanding -0.0004714 MACD histogram and SMA50 sitting 20.7% below SMA200 point toward further pressure; technical direction is bearish, with trend and momentum evidence, no material conflict, and adequate sufficiency.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I read fear, not capitulation: Fear & Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is only 0.81, and 50.9% of accounts are long with a 1.04 L/S ratio. The crowd is leaning long while aggressive buyers are absent; sentiment direction is bearish, with fear, account positioning, and taker-flow evidence, no material conflict, and adequate sufficiency.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The cleanest headline is ugly: Forbes Australia reports Immutable is scrapping crypto gaming teams as part of a radical reshaping. The price-prediction articles from Binance, Coinpedia, and StealthEX offer promotional forecasts rather than fresh operating evidence, while bitcoin slipping under $64,000 adds a hostile market backdrop.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Immutable’s gaming-business reshaping is a fundamental execution warning for an ecosystem token whose narrative depends heavily on crypto gaming growth. The pack provides no revenue, treasury, unlock, or valuation figures, so I cannot build a positive fundamental case from the available evidence.
0501107e2656f8ca838ecfa18f25641967b8d999d6b18a2f74531bedc1bfed43bb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23