IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX Trades at $0.1282 as Bearish Structure Meets Fear at 31
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-23 00:27 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -5.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -5.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of approximately $0.1333, the SMA50-implied level, with RSI above 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1115 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “sputtering engine” is a rounding error against the actual trend.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “sputtering engine” is a rounding error against the actual trend. Key support to defend sits near $0.1115. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: IMX is 23.7% below its SMA200 and the 30-day tape is down 7.3%. But RSI at 45.9 isn’t capitulation, and the tiny positive MACD histogram at +9.493e-06 says the sellers’ engine is sputtering; fear at 31 can be fuel once the weak hands are out.
Leo, that “sputtering engine” is a rounding error against the actual trend. Price is below every major moving average, SMA50 sits 20.6% below SMA200, and the token is still 26.0% beneath the 60-day high of $0.1734. A contracting MACD histogram is not a reversal; it’s a bear market pausing for breath.
· oversold relief rally from Fear&Greed 31
· long liquidation volatility
· Immutable ecosystem restructuring
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of approximately $0.1333, the SMA50-implied level, with RSI above 50.
Mara, you’re treating a 45.9 RSI like a death certificate. The 60-day low is $0.1115, 15.1% below spot, so the market has already built a nearby floor.
That floor is merely the next target, Leo. A 15.1% gap to the low is downside room, not support confirmation, while the 24-hour move is still -1.003%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating a 45.9 RSI like a death certificate. The 60-day low is $0.1115, 15.1% below spot, so the market has already built a nearby floor.
That floor is merely the next target, Leo. A 15.1% gap to the low is downside room, not support confirmation, while the 24-hour move is still -1.003%.
I’ll add the positioning wrinkle: 57.1% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 1.33, yet takers buy only 0.96 dollars for every dollar sold. That’s a wonderfully efficient setup for long liquidation, not a clean accumulation signal.
And the macro backdrop offers no rescue in this packet. With policy headlines still fighting over crypto legislation and IMX down 1.8% over seven days, liquidity optimism is an expensive story to invent.
I award the bear side the ruling, based decisively on the bearish moving-average structure: IMX is 23.7% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 20.6% below SMA200. I overturn this verdict only if price reclaims $0.1330—the approximate level implied by the 3.9% discount to SMA50—and holds above it with RSI rising through 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. IMX sits 3.2% below SMA20, 3.9% below SMA50, and 23.7% below SMA200; SMA50 is 20.6% under SMA200. RSI 45.9 and a contracting positive MACD histogram of +9.493e-06 show no decisive reversal.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear&Greed is 31, taker buy/sell is 0.96, and longs still dominate at 57.1% with an L/S ratio of 1.33. That is fearful crowd psychology paired with insufficiently washed-out positioning.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. The reported $3.5 billion Immutable gaming-team reshaping reinforces a retrenchment narrative around the ecosystem. The planned Immutable X deprecation beginning February 11 adds a concrete transition headline, while crypto legislation remains politically unresolved.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Bearish. Immutable’s reported restructuring of crypto gaming teams raises questions about near-term execution and ecosystem commitment. The IMX transition away from Immutable X also introduces operational and adoption risk, with no fundamental catalyst in the data pack to offset the token’s 7.3% 30-day decline.
1529e6abc1193cd44db042375d1107910f8d7b61cf142c58890e850983b7096c8624d818ee7811d0e765aa63f60423eb1e28fec5823b0c3f5024085df84084a2Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23