IMX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
IMX at $0.1095 sits 27.8% below its SMA200 as fear deepens
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-14 01:06 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -12.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -0.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -10.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -12.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.116 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1046 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that positive MACD sliver is contracting while the entire moving-average stack is hostile: price is 1.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that positive MACD sliver is contracting while the entire moving-average stack is hostile: price is 1. Key support to defend sits near $0.1046. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number, Mara: IMX is 27.8% under the SMA200 and down 15.7% over 30 days. But RSI at 38.6 is bruised rather than broken, the MACD histogram is still positive at +0.0006317, and price is just 4.4% above the 60-day low—selling pressure may already be stale. I also acknowledge my side’s recent record: the August 5 underweight call lost 3.1% versus BTC, while the August 6 call pushed; that’s a warning against treating a weak chart as a one-way elevator.
Leo, that positive MACD sliver is contracting while the entire moving-average stack is hostile: price is 1.9% below SMA20, 10.4% below SMA50, and 27.8% below SMA200. The 60-day low at $0.1046 is not support until defended; it is a nearby magnet. And the August 5 underweight LOSS of 3.1% versus BTC proves downside calls can miss sharply, but it does not repair a chart with a 19.4% SMA50-to-SMA200 bearish gap.
The bearish case has more room than the ruling admits: IMX is still 30.5% below the 60-day high of $0.1571, and the 60-day low at $0.1046 is only 4.4% away. A break beneath $0.1046 would expose how little chart support exists beneath the current price of $0.1095.
The fastest failure is a relief rally from the nearby low: RSI at 38.6 is weak but not oversold, and the MACD histogram is positive at +0.0006317. The fragile exhibit is the assumption that bearish moving averages overpower a short-term reversal.
The conservative desk overreaches if it treats positive MACD as a trend change; the aggressive desk overreaches if it treats $0.1046 as guaranteed support. The deciding condition is whether IMX holds $0.1046 or breaks it; the recent record’s August 5 underweight LOSS of 3.1% versus BTC shows why this level must be monitored rather than presumed.
· Relief rally from $0.1046
· Contracting but still positive MACD histogram
· Long-account crowding at 61.5%
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.116 with RSI above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 4.4% cushion above $0.1046 gives the market a defined floor, and RSI 38.6 leaves room for a reflex bounce.
Leo, a floor is a price that holds, not a number printed on a sheet. With IMX 10.4% below SMA50 and the MACD histogram contracting, your bounce thesis is a candle-chasing story.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 4.4% cushion above $0.1046 gives the market a defined floor, and RSI 38.6 leaves room for a reflex bounce.
Leo, a floor is a price that holds, not a number printed on a sheet. With IMX 10.4% below SMA50 and the MACD histogram contracting, your bounce thesis is a candle-chasing story.
I’m with Mara on crowd structure: 61.5% of long accounts and a 1.60 L/S ratio show directional optimism, while taker buy/sell is only 1.03. Funding is unavailable, so I won’t invent confirmation, but the account skew is not capitulation.
And the macro tape is hardly generous: the SEC again delayed its innovation exemption and postponed Reg Crypto without a new date. That removes a policy catalyst while IMX trades 30.5% below its 60-day high.
I rule for the bear case: underweight is the stronger verdict. The decisive exhibit is the aligned bearish structure—IMX is 10.4% below SMA50, 27.8% below SMA200, and SMA50 is 19.4% below SMA200—while the 60-day low at $0.1046 remains close. This call differs from the recent August 5 underweight LOSS of 3.1% versus BTC because the current pack combines that weak trend with fear at 29 and long-account skew at 61.5%, not merely a directional label. I would overturn the ruling on a sustained move above $0.116, accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI 38.6, price below SMA20/SMA50/SMA200, bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure, contracting positive MACD histogram, 30d decline of 15.7%. Conflicts: MACD histogram remains positive at +0.0006317 and price is only 4.4% above the 60d low. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 29, long accounts at 61.5% with an L/S ratio of 1.60, and taker buy/sell at 1.03. Conflicts: long exposure is not extreme and StockTwits has 0 bullish versus 0 bearish messages from 0 posts. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Direction: bearish. Immutable X deprecation headlines and reports of Immutable restructuring crypto-gaming teams add pressure to the token narrative. Broader SEC delays on tokenization and crypto-market rules offer no fresh catalyst for a rebound.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Direction: bearish. The Immutable X deprecation headline raises transition risk, while the reported $3.5 billion-unicorn restructuring reinforces execution concerns around the gaming ecosystem. No token-supply, revenue, or valuation figures are provided to offset that narrative.
f4c077a71e41961ec5efeab68db9e13327da166d25353c7fdb7a0041928e74df53f40f609f1c3a40d35f95df8482a1a109627902af10da6eeb4433219b8978bcCommitted 2026-08-15T00:20:00+00:00 · 95 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22 · 2026-08-21