GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT’s 19.6% monthly climb is pressing toward the 0.01946 ceiling
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 01:09 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A close below 0.0170, especially with RSI below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.017 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your 19.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: The bear’s strongest number is the 19. Resistance to clear sits near $0.01946. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
The bear’s strongest number is the 19.0% gap below SMA200, but that is a long-memory scar while GRT is already 16.7% above SMA20 and up 19.6% in 30 days. I also remember the 2026-08-20 underweight call losing as GRT gained 9.9% versus BTC; the present tape is stronger than a stale bearish label, with price only 8.5% beneath 0.01946.
Leo, your 19.6% is exactly the number that makes the case fragile: RSI is already 66.0, Fear&Greed is 73, and 64.3% of accounts are long. The 2026-08-20 underweight call lost 9.9% versus BTC, but that does not transform an overextended bounce into a durable reversal; the 28.8% SMA50-versus-SMA200 bearish structure still towers over your short-term averages.
I see more upside than the ruling admits: the 0.01946 60-day high is only 8.5% away, while the 0.01297 low is 37.2% below, leaving room for a test of resistance before the broader trend repairs. A 66.0 RSI is firm, not yet an exhaustion reading.
The fastest failure is a crowded long unwind: 64.3% of accounts are long, the L/S ratio is 1.80, and taker buy/sell is only 0.96. The most fragile exhibit is the +19.6% 30-day move, because MACD histogram is contracting while price remains 19.0% below SMA200.
The conservative side overreaches if it treats the 2026-08-20 underweight LOSS, at +9.9% versus BTC, as proof that today’s setup is bearish; that record shows the downside call has recently misfired. The deciding condition is whether GRT holds 0.0170 while RSI stays above 50.
· 64.3% long accounts and L/S ratio 1.80
· Contracting MACD histogram
· Price remains 19.0% below SMA200
Invalidation: A close below 0.0170, especially with RSI below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.
Mara, the 0.01946 ceiling is just 8.5% away, while the 0.01297 low is 37.2% below—momentum has room before the chart’s real floor matters.
Leo, that asymmetry is cosmetic until price clears 0.01946; MACD histogram is contracting, and taker buy/sell at 0.96 says the latest push lacks aggressive confirmation.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 0.01946 ceiling is just 8.5% away, while the 0.01297 low is 37.2% below—momentum has room before the chart’s real floor matters.
Leo, that asymmetry is cosmetic until price clears 0.01946; MACD histogram is contracting, and taker buy/sell at 0.96 says the latest push lacks aggressive confirmation.
I’ll puncture both stories: long accounts are 64.3% and the L/S ratio is 1.80, but funding is not provided, so nobody can honestly call this funding-crowded. The measurable flow tilt is still mildly defensive at a 0.96 taker ratio.
Leo, a 19.0% discount to SMA200 is not stale in a weak liquidity regime; it is the regime’s receipt. Until GRT reclaims that long trend, the rally remains a countertrend specimen.
I rule for the bullish side: the decisive exhibit is the combination of 30-day performance at +19.6% and price 16.7% above SMA20, which outweighs the lagging SMA200 structure for a weeks-long call. This ruling is different from the recent losing underweight call on 2026-08-20 because GRT is now demonstrating sustained short-term trend strength rather than merely relative weakness. I overturn it if price closes below 0.0170 or RSI falls under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bullish near term, mixed structurally. Evidence families: RSI 66.0; price +16.7% above SMA20 and +13.7% above SMA50; 7d +3.1% and 30d +19.6%. Conflicts: price remains 19.0% below SMA200, SMA50 sits 28.8% below SMA200, and MACD histogram is contracting. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish contrarian. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 73; 64.3% long accounts; L/S ratio 1.80; taker buy/sell 0.96. Conflicts: StockTwits supplied 0 messages, so social confirmation is absent. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The supplied headlines are mostly generic Bitcoin, altcoin, prediction, and price-prediction coverage rather than a fresh Graph-specific catalyst. The market backdrop includes a Connecticut lawsuit against Kalshi and an Ethena buyback/unlock story, neither directly changes GRT’s token outlook.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack provides no Graph-specific revenue, usage, unlock, staking, supply, or valuation figures. The fundamental case is therefore unsupported by concrete evidence here.
ddf79abf2db321197ba1c534b387b8b8517717a8f4bade08b410865aca766f13b460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23