GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT sits at $0.01496 with RSI 26.5, but the downtrend still controls the tape
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-31 00:56 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained break above $0.02518 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01457 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your oversold argument is the classic short-covering bedtime story.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your oversold argument is the classic short-covering bedtime story. Key support to defend sits near $0.01457. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: GRT is 39.6% under its SMA200 and the 60-day loss is already 40.7% from the high. But RSI at 26.5 says the tire is losing air, not that the car can keep accelerating downhill, while the MACD histogram is contracting; at $0.01496, the bad news may be stale and priced in.
Leo, your oversold argument is the classic short-covering bedtime story. GRT is still 8.6% below SMA20, 15.9% below SMA50, and just 2.5% above the $0.01457 low; a contracting negative MACD histogram without a price reversal is deceleration inside a crash, not a trend change.
· Oversold RSI rebound
· Long-account squeeze
· Broad crypto liquidity shock
Invalidation: A sustained break above $0.02518 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating proximity to $0.01457 as destiny. Extreme Fear at 25 and RSI 26.5 can produce a sharp snapback before the longer averages ever turn.
Theo, then explain why 67.8% of accounts are long while taker buy/sell is only 0.92. The crowd is positioned for your snapback; sellers still have the flow.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating proximity to $0.01457 as destiny. Extreme Fear at 25 and RSI 26.5 can produce a sharp snapback before the longer averages ever turn.
Theo, then explain why 67.8% of accounts are long while taker buy/sell is only 0.92. The crowd is positioned for your snapback; sellers still have the flow.
Mara, the long imbalance is precisely the fuel for a squeeze, but I can’t call it bullish while takers remain below parity. Positioning offers rebound fuel, not confirmation.
Leo, the macro tape is charging admission: Strategy booked an $8.2 billion Q2 Bitcoin loss and Coinbase fell 5% after weak revenue. In that liquidity mood, GRT’s oversold reading is a trapdoor, not a floor.
I rule for Mara and the bears: the decisive exhibit is GRT sitting only 2.5% above the 60-day low at $0.01457 while every major moving-average comparison is bearish. This ruling flips only on a sustained break above the 60-day high resistance at $0.02518.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. GRT trades 8.6% below SMA20, 15.9% below SMA50, and 39.6% below SMA200; SMA50 sits 28.2% below SMA200. RSI 26.5 and a contracting negative MACD histogram hint at exhaustion, but price is only 2.5% above the 60-day low of $0.01457. Direction is bearish; evidence families are trend, moving-average structure, momentum, and support proximity; conflicts are oversold RSI and contracting MACD; sufficiency is adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 25, taker buy/sell is 0.92, and 67.8% of long accounts creates a crowded bullish pocket beneath a fearful market. That positioning leaves GRT vulnerable to another flush toward $0.01457. Direction is bearish; evidence families are fear gauge, account positioning, and taker flow; conflicts are the high long-account share, which could fuel a squeeze; sufficiency is adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline mix is promotional on GRT but offers no concrete catalyst: forecasts and buy-case articles compete with broader crypto stress. Bitcoin’s $8.2 billion Q2 loss and Coinbase’s 5% decline point to a hostile market backdrop for speculative tokens.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no token-economics, revenue, adoption, or valuation figures, so a fundamental re-rating cannot be established. GRT’s 2030 forecast and buy-case headlines are narratives, not evidence of improving fundamentals.
0af7709765d9b6245c02e6ba57252b3a01991454a4e54d027327bcb7273ec3faaaad93392449382ba620b10dc23d021a0aee68e412ac495be7026415dc708c27Committed 2026-08-01T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25