GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT sits 1.7% above its 60-day low as RSI falls to 23.6
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-13 01:10 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above 0.01349 with RSI(14) reclaiming 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01317 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, the 23.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, the 23. Key support to defend sits near $0.01317. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: GRT is 42.0% below SMA200 and the MACD histogram is expanding negatively. But RSI at 23.6 is a spent rubber band, and price sits only 1.7% above the 60-day low—much of the panic is already in the print. A snapback from 0.01317 could punish late bears before the broader trend catches up.
Leo, the 23.6 RSI is your entire lifeboat, and it’s floating in a river of lower highs. That supposed panic floor is only 1.7% below price, while GRT remains 24.0% lower over 30 days and 18.1% beneath SMA50; oversold is not a reversal signal when MACD deterioration is expanding.
I think the bearish call leaves upside underpriced: RSI is only 23.6 and price is just 1.7% above 0.01317, so a recovery toward 0.01349 could be sharp. The five WIN and zero LOSS underweight calls in the settled record support the direction, but also make a crowded consensus vulnerable to reversal.
The fastest failure is a technical snapback from the 0.01317 floor while RSI rebounds from 23.6. That is the fragile exhibit: the bearish trend is broad, but the immediate distance to support is only 1.7%.
I think Leo overreached by treating oversold RSI as proof of a durable floor, while Mara overreaches if she ignores reversal risk at 0.01317. The deciding condition is whether GRT breaks 0.01317 or reclaims 0.01349.
· Oversold RSI rebound
· Break below 0.01317
· Crowded long accounts
Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained move above 0.01349 with RSI(14) reclaiming 50.
Mara, you’re treating distance from SMA200 as a forecast instead of a fact. At 0.01317, the 60-day low is close enough to create a violent reflex bounce.
Leo, reflex bounces don’t repair a -29.2% SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure. Your bounce case needs price to prove itself above 0.01349 first.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating distance from SMA200 as a forecast instead of a fact. At 0.01317, the 60-day low is close enough to create a violent reflex bounce.
Leo, reflex bounces don’t repair a -29.2% SMA50-versus-SMA200 structure. Your bounce case needs price to prove itself above 0.01349 first.
Leo, I see fear, but not clean capitulation: 59.8% of accounts are still long and taker buy/sell is 0.92. Without funding data, I can’t call the crowd washed out.
Theo’s right on the evidence gap. With no macro-liquidity catalyst in this pack, a thin oversold bounce is more likely noise than regime change.
I rule for the bears: GRT is bearish over weeks, and the decisive exhibit is the combination of price 18.1% below SMA50 with an expanding negative MACD histogram. My ruling is overturned by a sustained break above 0.01349 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The trend is fractured: GRT trades 8.5% below SMA20, 18.1% below SMA50, and 42.0% below SMA200. RSI(14) at 23.6 is oversold, but the expanding negative MACD histogram and bearish SMA50/SMA200 spread of -29.2% keep the tape structurally weak.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 29, while 59.8% of long accounts and a 0.92 taker buy/sell ratio show defensive, imbalanced participation. The absence of StockTwits messages—0 bullish and 0 bearish from 0 posts—removes any evidence of a crowd-driven capitulation bounce.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline flow is mostly generic price-prediction and market-data coverage, with no concrete GRT catalyst in the pack. Broader headlines about faulty filings and weak tokenization revenue reinforce a skeptical risk backdrop rather than provide a project-specific lift.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The pack supplies no fresh protocol, revenue, adoption, or token-supply data to support a fundamental rerating. With GRT already 37.7% below its 60-day high, price structure—not fundamentals—is carrying the verdict.
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