GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT sits at $0.01683, with RSI 33 and the 60-day low only 0.7% below
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-19 06:41 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -7.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.01699 with RSI(14) above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.01672 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “stale selling” theory runs straight into the tape: the 60-day low is not a springboard when taker buy/sell is 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “stale selling” theory runs straight into the tape: the 60-day low is not a springboard when taker buy/sell is 0. Key support to defend sits near $0.01672. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly exhibit: GRT is 35.7% under its SMA200 and has fallen 13.3% in 30 days. But RSI is already 33.0, the MACD histogram is still positive at +3.996e-05, and price is sitting just 0.7% above the $0.01672 60-day low—this is where stale selling can run out of ammunition.
Leo, that “stale selling” theory runs straight into the tape: the 60-day low is not a springboard when taker buy/sell is 0.88 and 59.5% of accounts are long. Your RSI 33.0 is not a reversal signal; against a price 5.0% below SMA20 and 11.9% below SMA50, it is a warning that oversold can become lower.
· Oversold RSI bounce
· Short-term support at $0.01672
· Unlisted protocol or market catalyst
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.01699 with RSI(14) above 50 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating $0.01672 as a trap by default, but the MACD histogram is positive even while price is weak. A reclaim of $0.01699 would put the immediate sellers on the back foot.
Leo, a $0.01699 reclaim is barely above today’s $0.01699 high—it proves nothing against the 27.0% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread. Until GRT can recover the moving-average stack, your bounce is a candle, not a thesis.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating $0.01672 as a trap by default, but the MACD histogram is positive even while price is weak. A reclaim of $0.01699 would put the immediate sellers on the back foot.
Leo, a $0.01699 reclaim is barely above today’s $0.01699 high—it proves nothing against the 27.0% bearish SMA50-versus-SMA200 spread. Until GRT can recover the moving-average stack, your bounce is a candle, not a thesis.
I’m with Mara on positioning: long accounts at 59.5% and a 1.47 L/S ratio leave more downside fuel than upside surprise. Funding isn’t provided, so nobody gets to invent a carry-based bull case.
And the macro tape offers GRT no rescue headline. The news pack is about privacy, regulation, payments, and Bitcoin governance; liquidity cynicism says a weak altcoin near its 60-day floor needs buyers, not hope.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is the combination of taker buy/sell at 0.88 with 59.5% long accounts while GRT sits only 0.7% above $0.01672. I overturn this ruling on a sustained break above $0.01699 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. GRT trades 5.0% below SMA20, 11.9% below SMA50, and 35.7% below SMA200; the SMA50 sits 27.0% below the SMA200. RSI 33.0 and a contracting positive MACD histogram offer only a weak bounce setup, not a trend reversal.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 28, while long accounts still control 59.5% and the long/short ratio is 1.47. Taker buy/sell at 0.88 shows sellers are still pressing bids; fear plus crowded longs is an ugly liquidation mix.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Neutral to bearish. The headlines are dominated by Zcash privacy, Polymarket regulation, payments politics, and Bitcoin governance—not a direct GRT catalyst. Nothing in this docket gives The Graph a fresh narrative bid.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Neutral, with no fresh token-economics evidence in the pack. The available market structure is doing the talking: GRT is down 13.3% over 30 days and remains 44.0% below the 60-day high at $0.03005. Without new fundamental support, a discounted price alone is not an investment case.
29471ccaefd87904ecd3b16b0284c2370a11d9223977423f97516e2247a8d332f4fc7312c5be5f7d7eea56f69a8be2b8607d9ddd9672db388d49defd4b1498d1Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25