GRT / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
GRT’s 66.4 RSI meets a bearish long-term structure after a 26.2% seven-day surge
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-26 01:06 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -5.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +8.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +9.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-11 — Underweight — -9.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -3.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -7.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -4.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -7.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -6.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.01946 with RSI holding above 66.4 invalidates the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.0174 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s springboard is already crowded and losing thrust.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s springboard is already crowded and losing thrust. Key support to defend sits near $0.0174. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: GRT sits 20.3% below its SMA200, with the SMA50 trailing that average by 29.1%. But that’s stale damage in the rear-view mirror; price is now 18.0% above SMA20, 12.5% above SMA50, and up 26.2% in seven days, a springboard sprinting toward the 0.01946 sixty-day high.
Leo’s springboard is already crowded and losing thrust. RSI at 66.4 is elevated, the MACD histogram is contracting at +0.0005427, and taker buy/sell is only 0.90 despite 64.6% of accounts being long; the 26.2% burst is exactly the kind of fuel that gets harvested before 0.01946.
The bearish call leaves upside underpriced if GRT clears 0.01946: price is already 18.0% above SMA20 and 12.5% above SMA50, while the 60-day low at 0.01297 is far below. The crowd may be early rather than trapped if momentum re-expands.
The fastest failure is a reversal from the 0.01946 resistance after a 26.2% seven-day jump. The fragile exhibit is the bullish short-term structure: RSI is already 66.4, MACD is contracting, and taker buy/sell is 0.90.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating the 26.2% surge as unfinished upside, while the conservative desk overreaches if it ignores the 15.2% 30-day gain. I note the record’s 5 WIN and 0 LOSS underweight calls; the deciding condition is whether GRT breaks 0.01946 or loses the 0.0174 session low.
· breakout above 0.01946
· short-term momentum re-expands
· crowded longs absorb selling
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.01946 with RSI holding above 66.4 invalidates the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating 0.90 taker buy/sell like a verdict, but price is still 35.6% above the 0.01297 sixty-day low and 15.2% higher over 30 days. Sellers haven’t broken the staircase.
Leo, the staircase runs into a ceiling just 9.6% away at 0.01946, while the MACD histogram is contracting. A rally can be intact and still be a terrible place to expect another clean leg.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating 0.90 taker buy/sell like a verdict, but price is still 35.6% above the 0.01297 sixty-day low and 15.2% higher over 30 days. Sellers haven’t broken the staircase.
Leo, the staircase runs into a ceiling just 9.6% away at 0.01946, while the MACD histogram is contracting. A rally can be intact and still be a terrible place to expect another clean leg.
I’m with Mara on the crowd tape: 64.6% long accounts and a 1.83 L/S ratio show directional enthusiasm, but the 0.90 taker ratio says aggressive demand is not confirming it. That’s a lopsided crowd with thinning impulse.
The macro headlines offer no direct GRT liquidity catalyst. Without a fresh impulse, the bearish SMA50/SMA200 gap of 29.1% remains the regime signal, not an obsolete footnote.
I rule for the bears: GRT is underweight. The decisive exhibit is the combination of 64.6% long accounts and a 1.83 L/S ratio against a contracting +0.0005427 MACD histogram, which makes the 26.2% weekly surge vulnerable near 0.01946. My ruling is overturned by a sustained break above 0.01946 with RSI holding above 66.4.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI 66.4, price 18.0% above SMA20 and 12.5% above SMA50, but 20.3% below SMA200 with SMA50 29.1% below SMA200; MACD histogram is positive at 0.0005427 but contracting. Conflicts: strong short-term momentum versus bearish long-term moving-average structure. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 65, 64.6% long accounts with a 1.83 L/S ratio, and taker buy/sell at 0.90. Conflicts: StockTwits shows 3 bullish versus 0 bearish messages, but the broader crowd is already greed-leaning and long-heavy. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headlines are promotional around GRT forecasts and “5 Reasons to Buy,” while broader blockchain-bank stories do not identify a direct Graph catalyst. That leaves the 26.2% seven-day rise leaning more on market momentum than fresh coin-specific news.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no token-economics, revenue, network-usage, or valuation figures for GRT. The 2030 forecast headlines are not fundamental evidence, so the long-term case cannot outweigh the chart and crowd data.
aeb766d2c39cda7e21626ae74101ef69b02b43999d2c2fac37bb2d6d7414da94650479c8d662b50f512b6a5ccfb1242fb411c562a0dabecc0eed582b87132f9fCommitted 2026-08-27T00:20:00+00:00 · 93 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23